Barnsley vs Leeds United U21 Prediction - September 22, 2026

EFL TrophyEnglandFull time
Barnsley
3:4
Leeds United U21
Correct scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:2-1

Match Winner: Home1.36Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.22price falling, opened at 1.34
Draw5.90price rising, opened at 5.55
Away9.00price rising, opened at 5.72

Market move since Sep 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.03price falling, opened at 1.05
Under 1.57.40price rising, opened at 6.55
Over 2.51.24price falling, opened at 1.30
Under 2.53.34price rising, opened at 2.97
Over 3.51.70price falling, opened at 1.89
Under 3.52.03price rising, opened at 1.81
Both teams to score
Yes1.55price rising, opened at 1.49
No2.27price falling, opened at 2.42
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price rising, opened at 1.77
Even1.83price falling, opened at 1.89
Handicap
Home -1.751.79
Away +1.751.89

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Barnsley vs Leeds United U21?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Leeds United U21 are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-10Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-07.5%Our score
  2. 2-18.9%Alternative
  3. 3-17.7%
  4. 3-07.3%
  5. 1-06.1%

Top five combined: 37.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBarnsleyxG2.96
AwayLeeds United U21xG0.99
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.8%
6.1%
7.5%
7.3%
5.2%
3.3%
2.7%
1
2.2%
5.0%
8.9%
7.7%
5.5%
3.0%
2.5%
2
1.4%
3.5%
4.2%
4.3%
2.9%
1.5%
1.2%
3
0.7%
1.5%
2.0%
1.4%
1.1%
0.6%
0.5%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
5
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 60.9%39.1% No
Over 1.5 89.9%10.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 75.9%24.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 55.5%44.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Barnsley win and over 2.5 goals58.6%
Barnsley win and both teams score40.1%
Leeds United U21 win and over 2.5 goals11.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals6.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Barnsley or draw85.1%
Leeds United U21 or draw27.8%
Either team wins87.2%
Draw no bet: Barnsley82.9%
Draw no bet: Leeds United U2117.1%
Barnsley win to nil32.2%
Leeds United U21 win to nil5.1%
Team goals
Barnsley to score93.0%
Leeds United U21 to score66.0%
Barnsley over 1.5 goals76.0%
Leeds United U21 over 1.5 goals31.2%
Barnsley clean sheet34.0%
Leeds United U21 clean sheet7.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

See the ticket

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free

More EFL Trophy Predictions

Salford City
Sheffield Wednesday
Goals Over/Under: Under 3.5 @ 1.4564%
Cheltenham
Exeter City
Rochdale
Liverpool U21
Asian Handicap: Home +0.5 @ 1.3274%
View All Predictions
Team news

Confirmed formations

Barnsley: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Leeds United U21: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Barnsley vs Leeds United U21