Club Nacional vs Defensor Sporting Prediction - 20 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
74%Odds 1.30Lost
Correct score1-0Alternative1-1
What is the prediction for Club Nacional vs Defensor Sporting?
Our correct score is 1-0, then 1-1. Club Nacional are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
City rivals Penarol are the highest-profile scalp in a five-match unbeaten run for Nacional, who host a struggling Defensor Sporting side on 20 September with Superior's model backing a 1-0 home win, and 1-1 next. Defensor sit 12th, fighting off relegation.
Nacional are unbeaten in five, including a win over Penarol
Nacional have won three and drawn two of their last five matches without a loss, a run that includes a 1-0 win over city rivals Penarol, and they sit fifth in Uruguay's table on 43 points with European qualification in reach. Defensor Sporting are 12th on 32 points and fighting to avoid the drop, with just one win in their last five and only four goals scored across that stretch, which supports the model's lean toward a home win.
Defensor won the reverse fixture in March
Defensor Sporting beat Nacional 2-1 the last time these two met in March, and two of the last three meetings have gone Defensor's way or finished level. If that away resilience shows up again, the 1-1 Superior lists as the alternative is a genuine outcome rather than a clean home win.
More tips for this game
- Correct score: 1-0
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-014.4%Our score
- 1-112.4%Alternative
- 2-010.2%
- 2-110.0%
- 0-09.5%
Top five combined: 56.5%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
Outcome markets
Team goals
Today's acca
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Formations
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 March 2026 | Defensor Sporting | 2 - 1 | Club Nacional |
| 9 November 2025 | Defensor Sporting | 1 - 1 | Club Nacional |
| 18 May 2025 | Club Nacional | 2 - 1 | Defensor Sporting |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | +24 | 58 | ||
| 2 | 30 | +19 | 55 | ||
| 3 | 29 | +17 | 53 | ||
| 4 | 15 | +7 | 27 | ||
| 4 | 30 | +12 | 53 | ||
| 5 | 30 | +7 | 49 | ||
| 6 | 30 | +2 | 47 | ||
| 7 | 30 | +11 | 46 | ||
| 8 | 30 | -7 | 38 | ||
| 9 | 30 | -4 | 36 | ||
| 10 | 30 | -7 | 35 | ||
| 11 | 30 | -2 | 34 | ||
| 12 | 30 | -6 | 33 | ||
| 13 | 30 | -20 | 33 | ||
| 14 | 30 | -13 | 30 | ||
| 15 | 30 | -18 | 28 | ||
| 16 | 30 | -15 | 26 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peñarol Montevideo | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 58 | |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 27 | 19 | 55 | DLDWW |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 53 | LWWLW |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 53 | WLDDD |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 49 | LDWLW |
| 6 | Wanderers | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 47 | WWWDW |
| 7 | Liverpool Montevideo | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 46 | DWLDW |
| 8 | Central Espanol | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 38 | DLDDW |
| 9 | Juventud | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 36 | DWLDL |
| 10 | Defensor Sporting | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 35 | LDDDL |
| 11 | Albion FC | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 33 | LWDDW |
| 13 | Cerro | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 33 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Boston River | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 30 | LLDDL |
| 15 | Progreso | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 | WLLWL |
| 16 | Danubio | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 | DLDDD |
