Motherwell vs Dundee Utd Prediction - September 2, 2026

PremiershipScotlandFull time
Motherwell
3:0
Dundee Utd
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.25Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.06price rising, opened at 1.85
Draw3.50price falling, opened at 3.66
Away3.38price falling, opened at 3.94

Market move since Aug 30. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.18price falling, opened at 1.19
Under 1.53.92price rising, opened at 3.78
Over 2.51.70price falling, opened at 1.73
Under 2.52.11price rising, opened at 2.07
Over 3.52.57price falling, opened at 2.64
Under 3.51.40price rising, opened at 1.38
Both teams to score
Yes1.57price falling, opened at 1.64
No2.25price rising, opened at 2.13
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.71
Away +0.251.93

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Motherwell vs Dundee Utd?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match analysis

Ten goals conceded in three matches is the number driving Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick in Motherwell vs Dundee Utd on 2 September, priced at 1.25 and rated 64 percent. Dundee United have been the leakier side by some distance, while Motherwell have stayed involved in goals without being prolific.

Dundee United have conceded ten in three games

Dundee United's last three results read a 0-2 defeat at Dundee, a 0-4 defeat at home to Celtic and a 0-4 away loss at Hearts, only their 4-0 win at Kilmarnock breaking a run of heavy losses. Motherwell have been steadier, drawing 0-0 with Falkirk and 1-1 with HJK Helsinki either side of a 2-0 win over the same Finnish side, a mixed attacking record but enough goalscoring form to expect at least a couple in this one.

Motherwell drew 0-0 with Falkirk only weeks ago

The way this loses is a repeat of Motherwell's own 0-0 draw with Falkirk, the one match in their recent sample that produced nothing at all. Dundee United have also shown they can keep a game tight when it suits them, drawing 1-1 with Rangers in their last outing before this slump began, so a return to that shape from both sides rather than the heavy scorelines either has been part of elsewhere is the specific way this pick fails.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.7%Projected
  2. 2-19.5%Alternative
  3. 1-08.3%
  4. 2-07.3%
  5. 1-26.9%

Top five combined: 42.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMotherwellxG1.76
AwayDundee UtdxG1.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.7%
8.3%
7.3%
4.3%
1.9%
0.7%
0.3%
1
6.1%
11%
9.5%
5.6%
2.5%
0.9%
0.3%
2
3.9%
6.9%
6.1%
3.6%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
3
1.7%
3.0%
2.6%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.5%
1.0%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 60.1%39.9% No
Over 1.5 80.9%19.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 58.9%41.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 36.5%63.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Motherwell win and over 2.5 goals32.9%
Motherwell win and both teams score25.8%
Dundee Utd win and over 2.5 goals18.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Motherwell or draw71.9%
Dundee Utd or draw51.4%
Either team wins76.7%
Draw no bet: Motherwell63.4%
Draw no bet: Dundee Utd36.6%
Motherwell win to nil22.8%
Dundee Utd win to nil12.4%
Team goals
Motherwell to score82.9%
Dundee Utd to score72.5%
Motherwell over 1.5 goals52.6%
Dundee Utd over 1.5 goals37.0%
Motherwell clean sheet27.5%
Dundee Utd clean sheet17.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Motherwell vs Dundee Utd
Head to Head

Head to Head

Motherwell vs Dundee Utd: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 28, 2026Motherwell2 - 0Dundee Utd
December 13, 2025Dundee Utd0 - 0Motherwell
October 29, 2025Motherwell2 - 0Dundee Utd
League Table

League Table

PremiershipScotland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15500133+1015
25401125+712
3531185+310
4531164+210
5522185+38
6621376+17
710101101
752128807
8520379-26
96123611-55
10511327-54
11502337-42
125014414-101
Relegation
Premiership - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Celtic55001331015W
2Heart Of Midlothian5401125712L
3ST Mirren531185310W
4Rangers531164210
5Motherwell52218538W
6Dundee62137617L
7Rangers10101101D
7ST Johnstone52128807W
8Hibernian520379-26L
9Dundee Utd6123611-55D
10Aberdeen511327-54W
11Falkirk502337-42L
12Kilmarnock5014414-101L