Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren Prediction - September 2, 2026
Alternative:2-1
Goals: Over 1.51.28Lost
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Kilmarnock shipped nine goals in their last two matches alone, and that defensive form is the main driver behind Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick in Kilmarnock vs St Mirren on 2 September, priced at 1.28 and rated 63 percent.
Kilmarnock have shipped nine goals in two games
Kilmarnock's last two results, a 0-4 home defeat to Dundee United and a 1-5 home defeat to Celtic, have produced nine goals conceded without much of a reply, and their earlier 4-3 defeat at St Johnstone fits the same leaky pattern. St Mirren have scored in four of their last five, including a 4-3 win over East Kilbride and a 2-0 win at Falkirk, an attack that has kept finding the net even in a mixed run of results.
The reverse h2h fixture finished 0-0 in December
The counter to an easy Over is that these two sides have gone blank against each other before: a 0-0 draw in their most recent previous meeting sits alongside three other h2h results that all produced goals at both ends. Kilmarnock's one clean home performance this run was a 1-0 win over Hamilton Academical, so if either defence finds that level for this specific fixture the way it has once already this season, a repeat 0-0 or 1-0 is the way Over 1.5 fails.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksPremium model depth
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Grade: LOST
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 1-110.8%Projected
- 2-18.6%Alternative
- 1-28.1%
- 1-07.1%
- 0-16.8%
Top five combined: 41.4%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
2 selections at 1.73
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Team news
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | ST Mirren | 0 - 3 | Kilmarnock |
| February 11, 2026 | Kilmarnock | 4 - 3 | ST Mirren |
| December 27, 2025 | ST Mirren | 0 - 0 | Kilmarnock |
| October 4, 2025 | Kilmarnock | 2 - 0 | ST Mirren |
| March 29, 2025 | ST Mirren | 5 - 1 | Kilmarnock |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +10 | 15 | ||
| 2 | 5 | +7 | 12 | ||
| 3 | 5 | +3 | 10 | ||
| 4 | 5 | +2 | 10 | ||
| 5 | 5 | +3 | 8 | ||
| 6 | 6 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 7 | 5 | 0 | 7 | ||
| 8 | 5 | -2 | 6 | ||
| 9 | 6 | -5 | 5 | ||
| 10 | 5 | -5 | 4 | ||
| 11 | 5 | -4 | 2 | ||
| 12 | 5 | -10 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 15 | W |
| 2 | Heart Of Midlothian | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 | L |
| 3 | ST Mirren | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 4 | Rangers | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | |
| 5 | Motherwell | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 6 | Dundee | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 7 | Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 8 | Hibernian | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | L |
| 9 | Dundee Utd | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 | D |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 4 | W |
| 11 | Falkirk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 | L |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 1 | L |