Luton vs Stockport County Prediction - September 2, 2026

League OneEnglandFull time
Luton
2:0
Stockport County
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.96price rising, opened at 2.14
Draw3.62
Away2.21price falling, opened at 3.08

Market move since Aug 30. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.12price falling, opened at 1.16
Under 1.54.85price rising, opened at 4.15
Over 2.51.55price falling, opened at 1.68
Under 2.52.40price rising, opened at 2.14
Over 3.52.27price falling, opened at 2.61
Under 3.51.51price rising, opened at 1.39
Both teams to score
Yes1.45price falling, opened at 1.55
No2.56price rising, opened at 2.30
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home +0.251.81
Away -0.251.85

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Luton vs Stockport County?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Stockport County are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Stockport County put five goals past Wycombe and six past Everton's under-21 side in their last two matches, and that firepower underpins Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick in Luton vs Stockport County on 2 September at 1.22, rated 54 percent. Luton have conceded in four of their last five games.

Stockport have scored eleven goals in two matches

Stockport County's last two results, a 5-1 win over Wycombe and a 6-3 win over Everton's under-21 side, have produced eleven goals for them alone, even allowing for a softer level of opposition in one of those games. Luton have shipped goals regularly too, conceding in four of their last five including a 3-4 home defeat to Reading and a 2-0 loss at Chelsea, a combination that points toward goals at both ends rather than a shutout.

Luton beat Gillingham 3-0 without reply only weeks ago

The way this loses is a repeat of Luton's 0-1 home defeat to Go Ahead Eagles, their most recent match and the only one in this sample to finish with a single goal. Stockport have also shown they can be shut out, drawing 1-1 with Doncaster and losing 1-2 at Blackpool, so if either side's quieter recent performance resurfaces rather than the high-scoring games both have also produced, the total could stall below 1.5.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-18.9%Projected
  2. 2-18.4%Alternative
  3. 1-27.6%
  4. 2-27.1%
  5. 3-15.3%

Top five combined: 37.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLutonxG1.88
AwayStockport CountyxG1.70
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.8%
5.2%
4.9%
3.1%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
1
4.7%
8.9%
8.4%
5.3%
2.5%
0.9%
0.4%
2
4.0%
7.6%
7.1%
4.5%
2.1%
0.8%
0.3%
3
2.3%
4.3%
4.0%
2.5%
1.2%
0.4%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.8%
1.7%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.3%
0.6%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 69.3%30.7% No
Over 1.5 87.3%12.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 69.4%30.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 48.1%51.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Luton win and over 2.5 goals32.6%
Luton win and both teams score27.2%
Stockport County win and over 2.5 goals26.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Luton or draw64.6%
Stockport County or draw57.3%
Either team wins78.1%
Draw no bet: Luton54.7%
Draw no bet: Stockport County45.3%
Luton win to nil15.5%
Stockport County win to nil12.4%
Team goals
Luton to score84.8%
Stockport County to score81.7%
Luton over 1.5 goals56.1%
Stockport County over 1.5 goals50.7%
Luton clean sheet18.3%
Stockport County clean sheet15.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 2.07

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Luton vs Stockport County
Head to Head

Head to Head

Luton vs Stockport County: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 12, 2026Luton3 - 1Stockport County
March 21, 2026Luton1 - 1Stockport County
November 8, 2025Stockport County0 - 3Luton
League Table

League Table

League OneEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1431093+610
24301115+69
3421184+47
4421185+37
5421153+27
6421176+17
74211101007
8420295+46
9420296+36
10413065+16
1142024406
124202810-26
13412143+15
14311184+44
15311156-14
16411246-24
17411227-54
18411227-54
194112413-94
20403145-13
21403145-13
22410357-23
23403146-23
24402249-52
Relegation
League One - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Huddersfield431093610
2Sheffield Wednesday430111569
3Blackpool42118447
4Burton Albion42118537
5Barnsley42115327
6Cambridge United42117617
7Luton4211101007
8Leyton Orient42029546
9Stockport County42029636
10Notts County41306516
11Bradford42024406
12Mansfield Town4202810-26
13Leicester41214315
14Reading31118444
15Oxford United311156-14
16Plymouth411246-24
17Peterborough411227-54
18AFC Wimbledon411227-54
19Bromley4112413-94
20Doncaster403145-13
21Stevenage403145-13
22Wigan410357-23
23Milton Keynes Dons403146-23
24Wycombe402249-52