Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction - September 2, 2026

League OneEnglandFull time
Burton Albion
4:1
AFC Wimbledon
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.32Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.11price rising, opened at 2.02
Draw3.24price falling, opened at 3.38
Away3.50price falling, opened at 3.62

Market move since Aug 30. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.31price rising, opened at 1.26
Under 1.52.94price falling, opened at 3.24
Over 2.52.10price rising, opened at 1.93
Under 2.51.71price falling, opened at 1.84
Over 3.53.54price rising, opened at 3.18
Under 3.51.22price falling, opened at 1.27
Both teams to score
Yes1.83price rising, opened at 1.74
No1.87price falling, opened at 1.98
Odd/Even
Odd1.88price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.80price falling, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.79price rising, opened at 1.73
Away +0.251.96price falling, opened at 2.04

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Burton Albion are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Burton Albion have four days' rest against AFC Wimbledon's three ahead of their League One meeting on 2 September, where Superior backs Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, a 72 percent pick. AFC Wimbledon have scored just once away from home across their last three road trips, both of them 3-0 defeats.

AFC Wimbledon have lost their last two away trips 3-0

AFC Wimbledon's away form has produced back-to-back 3-0 defeats, at Fulham and at Huddersfield, either side of a run of three straight draws at home. Burton have their own extra day of recovery, and their two home results in this stretch, a 1-1 with Stevenage and a 1-0 win over Derby, fit a side more likely to grind out a low-scoring afternoon than open the game up.

Burton have won each of the last two meetings 1-0

The way this loses is Burton's own attack clicking rather than anything from a visiting side that has scored eleven times in five matches. Burton beat Leicester 2-1 away only a fortnight ago, and if that finishing edge shows up at home while AFC Wimbledon's leaky away defence, three goals conceded in each of its last two trips, holds up its side of the bargain, a home win by two or more clears the total on its own.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.2%Projected
  2. 1-010.2%Alternative
  3. 2-19.0%
  4. 0-18.2%
  5. 2-07.6%

Top five combined: 47.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBurton AlbionxG1.49
AwayAFC WimbledonxG1.20
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.8%
10%
7.6%
3.7%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
1
8.2%
12%
9.0%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
0.2%
2
4.9%
7.3%
5.4%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
3
2.0%
2.9%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 54.0%46.0% No
Over 1.5 74.8%25.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 50.2%49.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 28.2%71.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Burton Albion win and over 2.5 goals26.2%
Burton Albion win and both teams score20.5%
AFC Wimbledon win and over 2.5 goals17.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Burton Albion or draw69.5%
AFC Wimbledon or draw56.1%
Either team wins74.4%
Draw no bet: Burton Albion59.0%
Draw no bet: AFC Wimbledon41.0%
Burton Albion win to nil23.4%
AFC Wimbledon win to nil15.8%
Team goals
Burton Albion to score77.4%
AFC Wimbledon to score69.8%
Burton Albion over 1.5 goals43.8%
AFC Wimbledon over 1.5 goals33.6%
Burton Albion clean sheet30.2%
AFC Wimbledon clean sheet22.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 2.07

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon
Head to Head

Head to Head

Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 11, 2026Burton Albion1 - 0AFC Wimbledon
October 25, 2025AFC Wimbledon0 - 1Burton Albion
League Table

League Table

League OneEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1431093+610
24301115+69
3421184+47
4421185+37
5421153+27
6421176+17
74211101007
8420295+46
9420296+36
10413065+16
1142024406
124202810-26
13412143+15
14311184+44
15311156-14
16411246-24
17411227-54
18411227-54
194112413-94
20403145-13
21403145-13
22410357-23
23403146-23
24402249-52
Relegation
League One - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Huddersfield431093610
2Sheffield Wednesday430111569
3Blackpool42118447
4Burton Albion42118537
5Barnsley42115327
6Cambridge United42117617
7Luton4211101007
8Leyton Orient42029546
9Stockport County42029636
10Notts County41306516
11Bradford42024406
12Mansfield Town4202810-26
13Leicester41214315
14Reading31118444
15Oxford United311156-14
16Plymouth411246-24
17Peterborough411227-54
18AFC Wimbledon411227-54
19Bromley4112413-94
20Doncaster403145-13
21Stevenage403145-13
22Wigan410357-23
23Milton Keynes Dons403146-23
24Wycombe402249-52