Cerrito vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction - September 2, 2026

Copa UruguayUruguayFull time
Cerrito
0:2
Deportivo Maldonado
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.21Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.90price rising, opened at 3.87
Draw3.06
Away1.93price falling, opened at 1.94

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.39
Under 1.52.59
Over 2.52.31
Under 2.51.53
Over 3.54.40
Under 3.51.14
Both teams to score
Yes2.01
No1.69
Odd/Even
Odd1.86
Even1.78
Handicap
Home +0.252.05price rising, opened at 2.03
Away -0.251.64price falling, opened at 1.65

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Cerrito vs Deportivo Maldonado?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Deportivo Maldonado are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Cerrito and Deportivo Maldonado average 2.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-113.1%Projected
  2. 0-111.3%Alternative
  3. 1-010.8%
  4. 0-09.3%
  5. 1-28.0%

Top five combined: 52.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCerritoxG1.16
AwayDeportivo MaldonadoxG1.21
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.3%
11%
6.3%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
11%
13%
7.6%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
2
6.9%
8.0%
4.6%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
2.8%
3.2%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 48.3%51.7% No
Over 1.5 68.6%31.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 42.4%57.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 21.6%78.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Cerrito win and over 2.5 goals17.7%
Cerrito win and both teams score14.4%
Deportivo Maldonado win and over 2.5 goals19.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals22.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Cerrito or draw62.6%
Deportivo Maldonado or draw65.2%
Either team wins72.2%
Draw no bet: Cerrito48.2%
Draw no bet: Deportivo Maldonado51.8%
Cerrito win to nil20.4%
Deportivo Maldonado win to nil22.0%
Team goals
Cerrito to score68.7%
Deportivo Maldonado to score70.3%
Cerrito over 1.5 goals32.3%
Deportivo Maldonado over 1.5 goals34.2%
Cerrito clean sheet29.7%
Deportivo Maldonado clean sheet31.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Cerrito vs Deportivo Maldonado
Head to Head

Head to Head

Cerrito vs Deportivo Maldonado: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
October 19, 2025Cerrito0 - 1Deportivo Maldonado
July 27, 2025Deportivo Maldonado1 - 0Cerrito