Atenas vs Peñarol Montevideo Prediction - September 2, 2026

Copa UruguayUruguayFull time
Atenas
2:2
Peñarol Montevideo
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.23Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home5.90price falling, opened at 6.05
Draw2.91price falling, opened at 2.93
Away1.70price rising, opened at 1.68

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.41price falling, opened at 1.42
Under 1.52.52price rising, opened at 2.49
Over 2.52.31
Under 2.51.53
Over 3.53.98price falling, opened at 4.00
Under 3.51.17
Both teams to score
Yes2.16price falling, opened at 2.20
No1.59price rising, opened at 1.57
Odd/Even
Odd1.97
Even1.69
Handicap
Home +0.751.77price falling, opened at 1.78
Away -0.751.85price rising, opened at 1.84

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Atenas vs Peñarol Montevideo?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Peñarol Montevideo are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Atenas and Peñarol Montevideo average 2.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.5%Projected
  2. 0-110.5%Alternative
  3. 1-09.1%
  4. 1-28.7%
  5. 0-07.6%

Top five combined: 48.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAtenasxG1.19
AwayPeñarol MontevideoxG1.38
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.6%
9.1%
5.4%
2.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
1
11%
13%
7.5%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
2
7.3%
8.7%
5.2%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
3
3.4%
4.0%
2.4%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.2%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 52.2%47.8% No
Over 1.5 72.8%27.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 47.6%52.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 25.9%74.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Atenas win and over 2.5 goals17.8%
Atenas win and both teams score14.9%
Peñarol Montevideo win and over 2.5 goals23.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Atenas or draw58.7%
Peñarol Montevideo or draw67.7%
Either team wins73.6%
Draw no bet: Atenas43.9%
Draw no bet: Peñarol Montevideo56.1%
Atenas win to nil17.5%
Peñarol Montevideo win to nil22.7%
Team goals
Atenas to score69.7%
Peñarol Montevideo to score74.9%
Atenas over 1.5 goals33.5%
Peñarol Montevideo over 1.5 goals40.3%
Atenas clean sheet25.1%
Peñarol Montevideo clean sheet30.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Atenas vs Peñarol Montevideo