Burnley vs Derby Prediction - 19 September 2026
ChampionshipEnglandFull time
Burnley
1-1
Derby
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
72%Odds 1.67Won
Correct score1-1Alternative1-0
5/5 Under 3.5 goals Derby · last 5 games
Form
Burnley
- L 1-3
- D 1-1
- L 1-2
- D 1-1
- L 1-4
Derby
- L 1-2
- L 0-1
- L 0-3
- W 2-0
- L 0-3
Head to head
- 26 Aug 2025 Burnley 2 Derby 1 League Cup
- 8 Apr 2025 Derby 0 Burnley 0 Championship
Match highlights
PremiumMore tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Goals: Under 2.5
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-112.5%Our score
- 1-09.3%Alternative
- 0-18.9%
- 2-18.7%
- 1-28.6%
Top five combined: 48.0%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
HomeBurnleyxG1.37
AwayDerbyxG1.24
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.9%
9.3%
6.0%
2.9%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
8.9%
12%
8.7%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
5.9%
8.6%
5.8%
2.6%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
2.7%
3.6%
2.4%
1.1%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
Goals and BTTS chances
Both teams to score Yes 54.8%45.2% No
Over 1.5 74.8%25.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 50.5%49.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 27.6%72.4% Under 3.5
Combos
- Burnley win and over 2.5 goals22.2%
- Derby win and over 2.5 goals21.3%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals19.4%
- Burnley win and both teams score17.9%
| Burnley | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 63.9% | 62.5% |
| Draw no bet | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| Win to nil | 19.6% | 18.6% |
| Either team wins | 73.6% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 74.4% | 73.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 39.0% | 38.2% |
| Clean sheet | 26.5% | 25.6% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.78Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.
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Formations
Confirmed formations
Burnley: 4-4-2(confirmed lineup)Derby: 4-4-2(confirmed lineup)
League table
League table
ChampionshipEngland · 2026/2027
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | 17 | |
| 2 | 8 | +11 | 15 | |
| 3 | 8 | +4 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | 13 | |
| 6 | 8 | +1 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | -1 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | -3 | 12 | |
| 9 | 6 | +4 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 13 | 8 | +9 | 10 | |
| 14 | 8 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | 7 | 0 | 9 | |
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 17 | 8 | -2 | 9 | |
| 18 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 19 | 8 | -3 | 8 | |
| 20 | 8 | -2 | 7 | |
| 21 | 7 | -5 | 7 | |
| 22 | 8 | -7 | 5 | |
| 23 | 8 | -7 | 4 | |
| 24 | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Relegation
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 | |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 | |
| 4 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | |
| 5 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | |
| 6 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | |
| 7 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | |
| 8 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | |
| 9 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 | |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | |
| 17 | Sheffield United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | |
| 19 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | |
| 20 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | |
| 21 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 | |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |