CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction - September 12, 2026

First LeagueBulgariaFull time
CSKA Sofia
4:1
Arda Kardzhali
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.28Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.53price falling, opened at 1.79
Draw3.90price rising, opened at 3.15
Away6.24price rising, opened at 5.08

Market move since Sep 11. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.29price falling, opened at 1.30
Under 1.53.40price rising, opened at 2.97
Over 2.52.11price rising, opened at 2.05
Under 2.51.73
Over 3.53.42price rising, opened at 3.34
Under 3.51.29price rising, opened at 1.24
Both teams to score
Yes1.92price rising, opened at 1.90
No1.82price rising, opened at 1.80
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price falling, opened at 1.98
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.74
Handicap
Home -0.751.76price falling, opened at 1.93
Away +0.752.06price rising, opened at 1.73

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: CSKA Sofia are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-7Methodology

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.6%Projected
  2. 1-012.0%Alternative
  3. 2-19.0%
  4. 0-18.9%
  5. 2-08.5%

Top five combined: 51.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCSKA SofiaxG1.42
AwayArda KardzhalixG1.05
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.4%
12%
8.5%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
1
8.9%
13%
9.0%
4.2%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
2
4.7%
6.6%
4.7%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
3
1.6%
2.3%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 49.3%50.7% No
Over 1.5 70.7%29.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 44.9%55.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 23.6%76.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

CSKA Sofia win and over 2.5 goals25.0%
CSKA Sofia win and both teams score19.0%
Arda Kardzhali win and over 2.5 goals14.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
CSKA Sofia or draw72.1%
Arda Kardzhali or draw54.6%
Either team wins73.4%
Draw no bet: CSKA Sofia61.9%
Draw no bet: Arda Kardzhali38.1%
CSKA Sofia win to nil26.5%
Arda Kardzhali win to nil15.7%
Team goals
CSKA Sofia to score75.8%
Arda Kardzhali to score65.1%
CSKA Sofia over 1.5 goals41.5%
Arda Kardzhali over 1.5 goals28.3%
CSKA Sofia clean sheet34.9%
Arda Kardzhali clean sheet24.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.39

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Team news

Expected formations

CSKA Sofia: 3-5-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
Head to Head

Head to Head

CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 6, 2026CSKA Sofia3 - 1Arda Kardzhali
September 18, 2025Arda Kardzhali1 - 0CSKA Sofia
League Table

League Table

First LeagueBulgaria · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
19810214+1725
28620216+1520
2330051+49
38620146+820
49612179+819
595131411+316
694141314-113
7925286+211
892431014-410
99225717-108
108224713-68
119207412-86
1291261019-95
1380441016-64
149117817-94
Relegation
First League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Levski Sofia98102141725WWW
2CSKA Sofia86202161520WWD
2Ludogorets Razgrad33005149
3Ludogorets8620146820WWW
4CSKA 19489612179819WWD
5Arda Kardzhali95131411316LWD
6Botev Plovdiv94141314-113WLD
7Slavia Sofia925286211DLD
8Spartak Varna92431014-410WWD
9Botev Vratsa9225717-108LLD
10Septemvri Sofia8224713-68LLD
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv9207412-86LWL
12Cherno More Varna91261019-95LLD
13Lokomotiv Sofia80441016-64DLD
14Dunav Ruse9117817-94LLL