Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction - September 12, 2026

First LeagueBulgariaFull time
Botev Plovdiv
2:0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.32Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.79
Draw3.44price rising, opened at 3.38
Away4.49price falling, opened at 4.58

Market move since Sep 11. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.26price falling, opened at 1.27
Under 1.53.20price rising, opened at 3.14
Over 2.51.95price falling, opened at 1.97
Under 2.51.81price rising, opened at 1.79
Over 3.53.28
Under 3.51.25
Both teams to score
Yes1.83price falling, opened at 1.84
No1.87price rising, opened at 1.86
Odd/Even
Odd1.89price falling, opened at 1.90
Even1.81price rising, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -0.751.95
Away +0.751.71

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Botev Plovdiv are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-7Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Botev Plovdiv and Lokomotiv Plovdiv average 1.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-013.6%Projected
  2. 1-112.4%Alternative
  3. 2-09.9%
  4. 0-09.3%
  5. 2-19.1%

Top five combined: 54.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBotev PlovdivxG1.46
AwayLokomotiv PlovdivxG0.91
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.3%
14%
9.9%
4.8%
1.8%
0.5%
0.2%
1
8.5%
12%
9.1%
4.4%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
2
3.9%
5.7%
4.1%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
3
1.2%
1.7%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 46.0%54.0% No
Over 1.5 68.6%31.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 42.4%57.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 21.6%78.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Botev Plovdiv win and over 2.5 goals26.4%
Botev Plovdiv win and both teams score19.1%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win and over 2.5 goals11.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Botev Plovdiv or draw76.5%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv or draw50.1%
Either team wins73.5%
Draw no bet: Botev Plovdiv68.0%
Draw no bet: Lokomotiv Plovdiv32.0%
Botev Plovdiv win to nil30.8%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win to nil13.9%
Team goals
Botev Plovdiv to score76.8%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv to score59.9%
Botev Plovdiv over 1.5 goals43.0%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv over 1.5 goals23.3%
Botev Plovdiv clean sheet40.1%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv clean sheet23.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.39

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Head to Head

Head to Head

Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 25, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv2 - 1Botev Plovdiv
May 3, 2026Botev Plovdiv0 - 2Lokomotiv Plovdiv
April 8, 2026Botev Plovdiv1 - 1Lokomotiv Plovdiv
February 12, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv1 - 0Botev Plovdiv
League Table

League Table

First LeagueBulgaria · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
19810214+1725
28620216+1520
2330051+49
38620146+820
49612179+819
595131411+316
694141314-113
7925286+211
892431014-410
99225717-108
108224713-68
119207412-86
1291261019-95
1380441016-64
149117817-94
Relegation
First League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Levski Sofia98102141725WWW
2CSKA Sofia86202161520WWD
2Ludogorets Razgrad33005149
3Ludogorets8620146820WWW
4CSKA 19489612179819WWD
5Arda Kardzhali95131411316LWD
6Botev Plovdiv94141314-113WLD
7Slavia Sofia925286211DLD
8Spartak Varna92431014-410WWD
9Botev Vratsa9225717-108LLD
10Septemvri Sofia8224713-68LLD
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv9207412-86LWL
12Cherno More Varna91261019-95LLD
13Lokomotiv Sofia80441016-64DLD
14Dunav Ruse9117817-94LLL