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Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax FC Prediction - 11 September 2026

Challenge LeagueSwitzerlandFull time
Stade Nyonnais
1-3
Neuchatel Xamax FC

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

68%Odds 1.66Lost

Correct score1-1Alternative0-1

Bookmaker odds

Home3.50price rising, opened at 3.46
Draw3.62price falling, opened at 3.70
Away1.86price rising, opened at 1.85
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.11price rising, opened at 1.10
Under 1.54.80price falling, opened at 4.85
Over 2.51.45
Under 2.52.41
Over 3.52.17price falling, opened at 2.19
Under 3.51.61price rising, opened at 1.60
Both teams to score
Yes1.44price falling, opened at 1.45
No2.55price rising, opened at 2.53
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home +0.751.65price rising, opened at 1.64
Away -0.752.06price rising, opened at 2.02

What is the prediction for Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 0-1. Neuchatel Xamax FC are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

A 68 percent read sits behind Under 3.5 goals when Stade Nyonnais host Neuchatel Xamax in the Swiss Challenge League on 11 September, well above the roughly 60 percent that the 1.66 price itself needs to break even. Five recent meetings between these two have produced four draws or one goal margins, not a shootout.

A number the market has undersold

At 1.66, Under 3.5 needs to land only about 60 percent of the time to pay for itself, yet Superior's scoring model puts the true figure closer to 68 percent, a gap wide enough to matter. Neuchatel Xamax have scored more than once in only one of their last five matches, and three of the five head to head meetings between these sides finished level.

Where four goals could sneak in

Nyonnais shipped four goals in their most recent outing, and if that same defensive lapse resurfaces against a Xamax side that finally clicks in front of goal, the total could clear 3.5 in a hurry. Both attacks have otherwise been blunt enough recently that the model is backing the low road to hold.

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 2.5Lost2.55
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-111.5%Our score
  2. 0-19.4%Alternative
  3. 1-29.4%
  4. 0-27.7%
  5. 1-07.0%

Top five combined: 45.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeStade NyonnaisxG1.22
AwayNeuchatel Xamax FCxG1.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.7%
7.0%
4.3%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
1
9.4%
11%
7.0%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
7.7%
9.4%
5.7%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
4.2%
5.1%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.7%
2.1%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 56.8%43.2% No
Over 1.5 77.8%22.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 54.4%45.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 32.1%67.9% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Stade Nyonnais win and over 2.5 goals17.3%
Stade Nyonnais win and both teams score14.8%
Neuchatel Xamax FC win and over 2.5 goals29.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.2%
Outcome markets
Stade Nyonnais or draw53.0%
Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw71.4%
Either team wins75.6%
Draw no bet: Stade Nyonnais37.8%
Draw no bet: Neuchatel Xamax FC62.2%
Stade Nyonnais win to nil13.8%
Neuchatel Xamax FC win to nil23.7%
Team goals
Stade Nyonnais to score70.6%
Neuchatel Xamax FC to score80.5%
Stade Nyonnais over 1.5 goals34.5%
Neuchatel Xamax FC over 1.5 goals48.6%
Stade Nyonnais clean sheet19.5%
Neuchatel Xamax FC clean sheet29.4%

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.63

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax FC
Head to Head

Head to Head

Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax FC: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
10 April 2026Neuchatel Xamax FC4 - 1Stade Nyonnais
6 March 2026Stade Nyonnais0 - 0Neuchatel Xamax FC
19 December 2025Stade Nyonnais1 - 1Neuchatel Xamax FC
25 July 2025Neuchatel Xamax FC1 - 1Stade Nyonnais
16 May 2025Stade Nyonnais1 - 3Neuchatel Xamax FC
League Table

League Table

Challenge LeagueSwitzerland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
18620173+1420
29531198+1118
38431149+515
494231611+514
593331416-212
694051217-512
793151516-110
89234812-49
992341521-69
109027623-172
Relegation
Challenge League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy86201731420DW
2FC Winterthur95311981118LD
3Yverdon Sport8431149515DD
4SC Kriens94231611514WL
5FC Aarau93331416-212DL
6Neuchatel Xamax FC94051217-512WW
7Rapperswil93151516-110WL
8Étoile Carouge9234812-49DW
9FC WIL 190092341521-69LW
10Stade Nyonnais9027623-172LL