Super Nova vs Tukums Prediction - 10 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
70%Odds 1.30Won
Correct score1-1Alternative1-0
What is the prediction for Super Nova vs Tukums?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-0. Super Nova are in better form heading into this match.
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Three of the last four meetings between Super Nova and Tukums have finished 2-1, and Superior is backing that pattern to hold as an Under 3.5 result at 1.3 for the 10 September Virsliga fixture, a 70 percent rated pick. Both sides are combining for only 1.6 goals a game this season, and that isn't close to a shootout.
Three identical 2-1 results in the head-to-head
Super Nova have won four of the last five meetings with Tukums, and three of those wins carried the exact same 2-1 scoreline while playing away from home, a pattern unusual enough to be worth trusting on its own. The season numbers back it up: Super Nova average 0.6 goals a game and Tukums 1.0, a combined 1.6 that sits well shy of 3.5. Both sides are also mid-table with little beyond pride on the line, which tends to produce cagier, lower-event football rather than a shootout.
Tukums shipped four goals in their own last home game
The clearest threat to the Under is Tukums' own 1-4 home defeat twelve days ago, which shows their defense can be pulled apart when the game opens up. Four goals alone beats this line, and that result cleared it by a distance. The head-to-head history also includes one Super Nova loss, a 1-2 defeat, so the pattern isn't unbroken. That single result is the honest reason this sits at 1.3 rather than shorter.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 2.5
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-111.9%Our score
- 1-09.4%Alternative
- 2-19.0%
- 0-17.9%
- 1-27.5%
Top five combined: 45.7%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
Outcome markets
Team goals
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.61LostGet the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.
Join on TelegramHead to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 July 2026 | Tukums | 1 - 2 | Super Nova |
| 1 July 2026 | Tukums | 1 - 2 | Super Nova |
| 22 March 2026 | Tukums | 1 - 2 | Super Nova |
| 28 September 2025 | Tukums | 2 - 1 | Super Nova |
| 6 July 2025 | Super Nova | 1 - 0 | Tukums |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | +56 | 73 | ||
| 2 | 29 | +49 | 73 | ||
| 3 | 30 | +19 | 60 | ||
| 4 | 31 | -2 | 43 | ||
| 5 | 31 | 0 | 39 | ||
| 6 | 29 | -10 | 35 | ||
| 7 | 31 | -17 | 32 | ||
| 8 | 30 | -31 | 25 | ||
| 9 | 30 | -17 | 23 | ||
| 10 | 30 | -47 | 15 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 86 | 30 | 56 | 73 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Riga | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 70 | 21 | 49 | 73 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Auda | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 60 | WDLDW |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 | LWLWL |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 39 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Super Nova | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 35 | WLWLL |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 32 | LLLLW |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 51 | -31 | 25 | LDLWL |
| 9 | Tukums | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 23 | WLLLL |
| 10 | Ogre United | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 76 | -47 | 15 | DLWLW |
