PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction - September 10, 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueWorldFull time
PSV Eindhoven
1:1
Shakhtar Donetsk
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:3-1

Match Winner: Home1.47Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.48price rising, opened at 1.42
Draw4.80price falling, opened at 4.94
Away5.90price falling, opened at 6.95

Market move since Sep 7. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.08price falling, opened at 1.10
Under 1.55.45price rising, opened at 5.00
Over 2.51.41price falling, opened at 1.46
Under 2.52.64price rising, opened at 2.49
Over 3.52.11price falling, opened at 2.26
Under 3.51.73price rising, opened at 1.64
Both teams to score
Yes1.54price falling, opened at 1.66
No2.35price rising, opened at 2.12
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.85
Handicap
Home -1.251.99price rising, opened at 1.85
Away +1.251.82price falling, opened at 1.85

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 3-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: PSV Eindhoven are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • PSV Eindhoven average 3.4 goals per match against 1.2 for Shakhtar Donetsk.
  • PSV Eindhoven won 4 of their last 5 matches; Shakhtar Donetsk won 3 of 5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-18.7%Projected
  2. 3-17.6%Alternative
  3. 1-16.6%
  4. 2-06.3%
  5. 2-25.9%

Top five combined: 35.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePSV EindhovenxG2.63
AwayShakhtar DonetskxG1.37
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.8%
4.8%
6.3%
5.6%
3.7%
1.9%
1.3%
1
2.5%
6.6%
8.7%
7.6%
5.0%
2.6%
1.8%
2
1.7%
4.5%
5.9%
5.2%
3.4%
1.8%
1.2%
3
0.8%
2.1%
2.7%
2.4%
1.6%
0.8%
0.6%
4
0.3%
0.7%
0.9%
0.8%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
6+
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 69.2%30.8% No
Over 1.5 90.9%9.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 76.2%23.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 56.7%43.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

PSV Eindhoven win and over 2.5 goals53.4%
PSV Eindhoven win and both teams score40.9%
Shakhtar Donetsk win and over 2.5 goals13.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals8.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
PSV Eindhoven or draw81.9%
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw35.5%
Either team wins82.7%
Draw no bet: PSV Eindhoven78.1%
Draw no bet: Shakhtar Donetsk21.9%
PSV Eindhoven win to nil23.6%
Shakhtar Donetsk win to nil5.4%
Team goals
PSV Eindhoven to score92.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk to score74.5%
PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals73.9%
Shakhtar Donetsk over 1.5 goals39.7%
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet25.5%
Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet7.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk