Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma Prediction - September 10, 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueWorldFull time
Fenerbahçe
1:1
AS Roma
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.28Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.54price rising, opened at 3.14
Draw3.62price rising, opened at 3.50
Away2.02price falling, opened at 2.23

Market move since Sep 7. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.16price falling, opened at 1.22
Under 1.54.75price rising, opened at 3.74
Over 2.51.59price falling, opened at 1.79
Under 2.52.36price rising, opened at 2.02
Over 3.52.36price falling, opened at 2.84
Under 3.51.53price rising, opened at 1.36
Both teams to score
Yes1.50price falling, opened at 1.61
No2.45price rising, opened at 2.19
Odd/Even
Odd1.90price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.80price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home +0.252.06price rising, opened at 1.85
Away -0.251.73price falling, opened at 1.87

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: AS Roma are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Fenerbahçe and AS Roma average 4.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-18.6%Projected
  2. 1-28.0%Alternative
  3. 2-17.8%
  4. 2-27.2%
  5. 1-34.9%

Top five combined: 36.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFenerbahçexG1.81
AwayAS RomaxG1.84
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.6%
4.7%
4.2%
2.6%
1.2%
0.4%
0.2%
1
4.8%
8.6%
7.8%
4.7%
2.1%
0.8%
0.3%
2
4.4%
8.0%
7.2%
4.3%
2.0%
0.7%
0.3%
3
2.7%
4.9%
4.4%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.2%
4
1.2%
2.3%
2.0%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.5%
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
6+
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 70.4%29.6% No
Over 1.5 87.9%12.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 70.6%29.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 49.6%50.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Fenerbahçe win and over 2.5 goals29.5%
Fenerbahçe win and both teams score25.2%
AS Roma win and over 2.5 goals30.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Fenerbahçe or draw60.1%
AS Roma or draw61.6%
Either team wins78.2%
Draw no bet: Fenerbahçe49.1%
Draw no bet: AS Roma50.9%
Fenerbahçe win to nil13.2%
AS Roma win to nil13.8%
Team goals
Fenerbahçe to score83.6%
AS Roma to score84.2%
Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals53.9%
AS Roma over 1.5 goals55.0%
Fenerbahçe clean sheet15.8%
AS Roma clean sheet16.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma