Torino vs Monza Prediction - September 1, 2026

Coppa ItaliaItalyFull time
Torino
0:1
Monza
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.40Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.89price rising, opened at 1.85
Draw3.38price rising, opened at 3.36
Away4.08price falling, opened at 4.25

Market move since Aug 31. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.29price falling, opened at 1.32
Under 1.53.40price rising, opened at 2.88
Over 2.52.11price falling, opened at 2.12
Under 2.51.73price rising, opened at 1.68
Over 3.53.42price falling, opened at 3.68
Under 3.51.29price rising, opened at 1.20
Both teams to score
Yes1.80price falling, opened at 1.92
No1.95price rising, opened at 1.79
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.88
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.69
Away +0.252.18

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Torino vs Monza?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Monza are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match analysis

Monza's average of 2.0 goals a game is more than double Torino's own 0.8, yet Superior still projects a tight scoreline when the two meet in the Coppa Italia on 1 September. The model backs a 1-1 draw, with 1-2 the alternate score.

Monza are averaging exactly double Torino's goals scored per game

That 2.0 to 0.8 split reflects a Monza side capable of heavier scorelines, including a 3-0 and a 3-3 in their last five, against a Torino team that wins by scraping single-goal margins, 1-0 twice at home in their own recent run. The one previous meeting between these two, a 2-0 Torino win away from this ground, is too small a sample to call a pattern, though it does show Torino can be the tighter, more controlled side even away from home.

Monza's attack has produced two three-goal outings this run

A 3-0 win and a 3-3 draw both sit in Monza's recent form, exactly the kind of scoreline that would beat a tight 1-1 projection if their attack travels well. LOSES IF: Monza win by two or more goals, or the match finishes level at 2-2 or higher, since either would go beyond both the 1-1 draw and the 1-2 alternate Superior has projected.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.2%Projected
  2. 1-29.1%Alternative
  3. 0-18.2%
  4. 2-17.6%
  5. 1-06.8%

Top five combined: 42.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeTorinoxG1.36
AwayMonzaxG1.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0%
6.8%
4.7%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
1
8.2%
11%
7.6%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
2
6.7%
9.1%
6.2%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
3
3.6%
4.9%
3.4%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.5%
2.0%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.5%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 59.7%40.3% No
Over 1.5 79.9%20.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 57.4%42.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 35.0%65.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Torino win and over 2.5 goals20.5%
Torino win and both teams score17.4%
Monza win and over 2.5 goals29.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Torino or draw56.1%
Monza or draw68.0%
Either team wins75.9%
Draw no bet: Torino42.2%
Draw no bet: Monza57.8%
Torino win to nil14.6%
Monza win to nil20.6%
Team goals
Torino to score74.3%
Monza to score80.4%
Torino over 1.5 goals39.4%
Monza over 1.5 goals48.4%
Torino clean sheet19.6%
Monza clean sheet25.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.07

See the ticket

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Torino vs Monza