Swindon Town vs Port Vale Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.28Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home3.04

Draw3.44

Away2.23

Market move since Aug 30. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.29

Under 1.53.40

Over 2.52.01

Under 2.51.80

Over 3.53.42

Under 3.51.29

Both teams to score

Yes1.80

No1.95

Odd/Even

Odd1.87

Even1.87

Handicap

Home +0.251.88

Away -0.251.93

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Swindon Town vs Port Vale?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Swindon Town are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 29, 2026, 00:04 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Match Highlights: Swindon Town 3-1 Port ValeSwindon Town Football ClubUnlock with Premium

Why this prediction

Swindon Town and Port Vale average 2.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-013.9%Projected
1-113.4%Alternative
0-011.9%
0-111.5%
2-08.1%

Top five combined: 58.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSwindon TownxG1.17

AwayPort ValexG0.96

12%

14%

8.1%

3.1%

0.9%

0.2%

0.0%

11%

13%

7.8%

3.0%

0.9%

0.2%

0.0%

5.5%

6.4%

3.7%

1.5%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

1.8%

2.1%

1.2%

0.5%

0.1%

0.0%

0.4%

0.5%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 42.5%57.5% No

Over 1.5 62.7%37.3% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 35.8%64.2% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 16.7%83.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Swindon Town win and over 2.5 goals18.5%

Swindon Town win and both teams score14.1%

Port Vale win and over 2.5 goals13.1%

Draw and under 2.5 goals25.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Swindon Town or draw70.0%

Port Vale or draw59.5%

Either team wins70.5%

Draw no bet: Swindon Town57.4%

Draw no bet: Port Vale42.6%

Swindon Town win to nil26.3%

Port Vale win to nil19.2%

Team goals

Swindon Town to score68.8%

Port Vale to score61.8%

Swindon Town over 1.5 goals32.5%

Port Vale over 1.5 goals25.0%

Swindon Town clean sheet38.2%

Port Vale clean sheet31.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 2.07

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Swindon Town vs Port Vale

League Table

League TwoEngland · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bristol Rovers	4	3	0	1	11	6	+5	9
2	Barnet	4	2	2	0	9	5	+4	8
3	Walsall	4	2	2	0	8	4	+4	8
4	Crewe	4	2	2	0	4	2	+2	8
5	Oldham	4	2	1	1	7	3	+4	7
6	Cheltenham	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
7	York	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Colchester	4	2	1	1	5	5	0	7
9	Swindon Town	4	2	1	1	5	5	0	7
10	Tranmere Rovers	4	1	3	0	7	5	+2	6
11	Grimsby	4	1	3	0	5	4	+1	6
11	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Fleetwood Town	4	1	3	0	4	3	+1	6
13	Rotherham	4	1	2	1	6	6	0	5
14	Newport County	4	1	1	2	9	9	0	4
15	Exeter City	4	1	1	2	4	4	0	4
16	Chesterfield	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4
17	Crawley Town	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
18	Northampton	4	0	3	1	2	3	-1	3
19	Rochdale	4	1	0	3	4	6	-2	3
20	Salford City	4	1	0	3	3	6	-3	3
21	Gillingham	4	0	3	1	2	5	-3	3
22	Shrewsbury	4	1	0	3	2	8	-6	3
23	Accrington ST	4	0	2	2	6	9	-3	2
24	Port Vale	4	0	2	2	2	6	-4	2

Relegation

League Two - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Bristol Rovers	4	3	0	1	11	6	5	9
2	Barnet	4	2	2	0	9	5	4	8
3	Walsall	4	2	2	0	8	4	4	8
4	Crewe	4	2	2	0	4	2	2	8
5	Oldham	4	2	1	1	7	3	4	7
6	Cheltenham	4	2	1	1	8	7	1	7
7	York	4	2	1	1	8	7	1	7
8	Colchester	4	2	1	1	5	5	0	7
9	Swindon Town	4	2	1	1	5	5	0	7
10	Tranmere Rovers	4	1	3	0	7	5	2	6
11	Grimsby	4	1	3	0	5	4	1	6
11	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Fleetwood Town	4	1	3	0	4	3	1	6
13	Rotherham	4	1	2	1	6	6	0	5
14	Newport County	4	1	1	2	9	9	0	4
15	Exeter City	4	1	1	2	4	4	0	4
16	Chesterfield	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4
17	Crawley Town	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
18	Northampton	4	0	3	1	2	3	-1	3
19	Rochdale	4	1	0	3	4	6	-2	3
20	Salford City	4	1	0	3	3	6	-3	3
21	Gillingham	4	0	3	1	2	5	-3	3
22	Shrewsbury	4	1	0	3	2	8	-6	3
23	Accrington ST	4	0	2	2	6	9	-3	2
24	Port Vale	4	0	2	2	2	6	-4	2

Swindon Town vs Port Vale Prediction - September 1, 2026

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What is the prediction for Swindon Town vs Port Vale?

Match highlights

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

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Correlated combos

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