Rochdale vs Shrewsbury Prediction - September 1, 2026

League TwoEnglandFull time
Rochdale
3:0
Shrewsbury
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.32Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.27price rising, opened at 2.04
Draw3.23price falling, opened at 3.54
Away3.13price falling, opened at 3.33

Market move since Aug 30. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.31price rising, opened at 1.24
Under 1.53.25price falling, opened at 3.34
Over 2.52.11price rising, opened at 1.88
Under 2.51.73price falling, opened at 1.87
Over 3.53.42price rising, opened at 3.14
Under 3.51.29price rising, opened at 1.27
Both teams to score
Yes1.80price rising, opened at 1.72
No1.95price falling, opened at 2.01
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.86
Handicap
Home -0.251.95price rising, opened at 1.76
Away +0.251.85price falling, opened at 1.98

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Rochdale vs Shrewsbury?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Neither Rochdale nor Shrewsbury has won any of their last five games, and that shared slump drives Superior's projection for their League Two meeting on 1 September. The model backs a tight 1-1, with a 1-0 home win next in line.

Neither Rochdale nor Shrewsbury has won in their last five games

Rochdale's run reads four losses and a draw, while Shrewsbury's has been even leakier at the back, shipping four goals in two of their five, most recently a 0-4 defeat away from home. Shrewsbury's attack rating of 6.8 is a stronger number than anything Rochdale have shown, but it has not translated into results, and Rochdale's own scoring rate of 1.0 goals a game against Shrewsbury's 0.6 is enough for Superior to lean toward a narrow home edge inside a tight scoreline.

Shrewsbury have conceded double figures across their last two away trips

Four goals conceded in one match and another heavy defeat elsewhere show this Shrewsbury defence can be broken open quickly once it goes behind. LOSES IF: Rochdale score twice or more, since a bigger home win would match Shrewsbury's recent away form more than the tight 1-1 or 1-0 Superior has projected.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.3%Projected
  2. 1-011.3%Alternative
  3. 2-19.2%
  4. 2-08.5%
  5. 0-18.2%

Top five combined: 49.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeRochdalexG1.50
AwayShrewsburyxG1.09
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.5%
11%
8.5%
4.2%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
1
8.2%
12%
9.2%
4.6%
1.7%
0.5%
0.2%
2
4.4%
6.7%
5.0%
2.5%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
3
1.6%
2.4%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.4%48.6% No
Over 1.5 73.0%27.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 47.8%52.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 26.1%73.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Rochdale win and over 2.5 goals26.9%
Rochdale win and both teams score20.5%
Shrewsbury win and over 2.5 goals14.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Rochdale or draw72.5%
Shrewsbury or draw53.3%
Either team wins74.2%
Draw no bet: Rochdale63.0%
Draw no bet: Shrewsbury37.0%
Rochdale win to nil26.2%
Shrewsbury win to nil14.8%
Team goals
Rochdale to score77.7%
Shrewsbury to score66.2%
Rochdale over 1.5 goals44.2%
Shrewsbury over 1.5 goals29.6%
Rochdale clean sheet33.8%
Shrewsbury clean sheet22.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 2.07

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Rochdale vs Shrewsbury
League Table

League Table

League TwoEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14301116+59
2422095+48
3422084+48
4422042+28
5421173+47
6421187+17
7421187+17
842115507
942115507
10413075+26
11413054+16
1100000000
12413043+16
1341216605
1441129904
1541124404
16411234-14
17411235-24
18403123-13
19410346-23
20410336-33
21403125-33
22410328-63
23402269-32
24402226-42
Relegation
League Two - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Bristol Rovers430111659
2Barnet42209548
3Walsall42208448
4Crewe42204228
5Oldham42117347
6Cheltenham42118717
7York42118717
8Colchester42115507
9Swindon Town42115507
10Tranmere Rovers41307526
11Grimsby41305416
11Tranmere00000000
12Fleetwood Town41304316
13Rotherham41216605
14Newport County41129904
15Exeter City41124404
16Chesterfield411234-14
17Crawley Town411235-24
18Northampton403123-13
19Rochdale410346-23
20Salford City410336-33
21Gillingham403125-33
22Shrewsbury410328-63
23Accrington ST402269-32
24Port Vale402226-42