Stoke City vs Norwich Prediction - September 1, 2026
Alternative:1-1
Goals: Under 3.51.38Won
What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Norwich?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Norwich are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Norwich are averaging 1.6 goals a game to Stoke City's 1.2, headlined by a 4-1 win in their last five, yet Superior still projects a tight result when the two meet in the Championship on 1 September. The model backs a narrow 1-0 home win, with 1-1 the alternate score.
Norwich are scoring at a higher rate than Stoke this season
A 4-1 win sits inside Norwich's last five, alongside two defeats and a win, giving them the stronger scoring average of the two sides at 1.6 goals a game. Stoke's own form has been steadier rather than spectacular, one win and three draws in their own last five, with a 2-0 the only game they have kept a clean sheet in. The head-to-head has been tight too, a 2-0 away win and a 1-1 draw in the two most recent meetings.
Norwich scored four goals in their most productive recent game
That 4-1 result shows Norwich's attack has more upside than a 1.6 average alone suggests, and if it shows up here it would push this well past a narrow home win. LOSES IF: Norwich win outright, or Stoke win by two or more goals, since either result sits outside the narrow home win or 1-1 draw Superior has projected.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksPremium model depth
Unlocked after full timePost match archive
Grade: WON
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 1-014.0%Projected
- 1-113.3%Alternative
- 0-011.8%
- 0-111.2%
- 2-08.3%
Top five combined: 58.6%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
2 selections at 2.07
See the ticket
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 4, 2026 | Norwich | 0 - 2 | Stoke City |
| September 27, 2025 | Stoke City | 1 - 1 | Norwich |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +6 | 10 | ||
| 2 | 4 | +4 | 10 | ||
| 3 | 4 | +3 | 10 | ||
| 4 | 4 | +3 | 7 | ||
| 5 | 4 | +2 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 4 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 7 | 4 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 8 | 4 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 9 | 4 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 10 | 4 | -2 | 6 | ||
| 11 | 4 | +2 | 5 | ||
| 12 | 4 | +1 | 5 | ||
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 14 | 4 | -1 | 5 | ||
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 15 | 4 | -1 | 4 | ||
| 16 | 4 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 17 | 4 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 18 | 4 | +5 | 3 | ||
| 19 | 4 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 20 | 4 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 21 | 4 | -3 | 3 | ||
| 22 | 4 | -5 | 3 | ||
| 23 | 4 | -5 | 2 | ||
| 24 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 10 | |
| 2 | QPR | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| 3 | Charlton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| 4 | Wolves | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 7 | |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| 6 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 7 | West Brom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 8 | Birmingham | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | |
| 9 | Sheffield United | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | |
| 10 | Millwall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | |
| 11 | Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | |
| 12 | West Ham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 | |
| 13 | Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| 14 | Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 15 | Bolton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | |
| 16 | Derby | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | |
| 17 | Lincoln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | |
| 18 | Southampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |
| 19 | Cardiff | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | |
| 20 | Norwich | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 | |
| 22 | Stoke City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 | |
| 23 | Burnley | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 | |
| 24 | Preston | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 0 |
