FC Rostov vs CSKA Moscow Prediction - September 1, 2026

CupRussiaFull time
FC Rostov
2:0
CSKA Moscow
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.33Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.46price rising, opened at 3.28
Draw3.60price rising, opened at 3.54
Away2.05price falling, opened at 2.14

Market move since Aug 29. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.30price rising, opened at 1.25
Under 1.53.50
Over 2.51.89price falling, opened at 1.90
Under 2.51.91price rising, opened at 1.90
Over 3.53.20price rising, opened at 3.16
Under 3.51.35price rising, opened at 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes1.63price falling, opened at 1.71
No2.29price rising, opened at 2.04
Odd/Even
Odd1.89price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.85
Handicap
Home +0.252.08price rising, opened at 1.93
Away -0.251.75price falling, opened at 1.80

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for FC Rostov vs CSKA Moscow?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: FC Rostov are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Superior's strongest read on FC Rostov's Russian Cup tie with CSKA Moscow on 1 September is Under 3.5 goals, available at 1.33. The model backs that pick at 77 percent confidence, built on just two goals total across Rostov's last two matches at this ground, well below their season-long scoring rate.

Rostov have scored only two goals across their last two home matches

The season-long average points to 2.2 goals a game from Rostov alone, but a 1-0 and a 1-1 at this stadium tell a tamer story than that number suggests. CSKA's away form is thinner still: their only match away from home in this sample finished 2-2, hardly evidence of a team that travels and scores freely. Both sides look more like cup-tie teams playing for control than the season-long scoring rate implies.

Rostov and CSKA have combined for 3.6 goals a game across the season

Add the two sides' scoring averages together and the raw number sits above the 3.5 line Superior is backing under, and their head-to-head has produced four goals in one of the last three meetings. LOSES IF: this match finishes 4-0, 3-1, 2-2 or any other four-goal or higher total, since that would match the season-long scoring rate rather than the tighter recent form at Rostov's own ground.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-113.0%Projected
  2. 0-111.2%Alternative
  3. 1-010.4%
  4. 0-09.0%
  5. 1-28.1%

Top five combined: 51.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFC RostovxG1.16
AwayCSKA MoscowxG1.25
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.0%
10%
6.1%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
11%
13%
7.6%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
2
7.0%
8.1%
4.7%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
2.9%
3.4%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 49.0%51.0% No
Over 1.5 69.4%30.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 43.3%56.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 22.4%77.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

FC Rostov win and over 2.5 goals17.7%
FC Rostov win and both teams score14.5%
CSKA Moscow win and over 2.5 goals20.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals22.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
FC Rostov or draw61.8%
CSKA Moscow or draw65.8%
Either team wins72.4%
Draw no bet: FC Rostov47.2%
Draw no bet: CSKA Moscow52.8%
FC Rostov win to nil19.8%
CSKA Moscow win to nil22.2%
Team goals
FC Rostov to score68.8%
CSKA Moscow to score71.3%
FC Rostov over 1.5 goals32.4%
CSKA Moscow over 1.5 goals35.4%
FC Rostov clean sheet28.7%
CSKA Moscow clean sheet31.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: FC Rostov vs CSKA Moscow
Head to Head

Head to Head

CSKA Moscow
1 - 1
FC Rostov
April 21, 2026
CSKA Moscow
3 - 1
FC Rostov
February 18, 2026
FC Rostov
1 - 0
CSKA Moscow
September 14, 2025
FC Rostov vs CSKA Moscow: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 21, 2026CSKA Moscow1 - 1FC Rostov
February 18, 2026CSKA Moscow3 - 1FC Rostov
September 14, 2025FC Rostov1 - 0CSKA Moscow