Kashima vs Gamba Osaka Prediction - 9 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
83%Odds 1.19Won
Correct score1-1Alternative2-1
Form
- W 3-1
- D 3-3
- W 7-1
- L 1-2
- L 0-1
- D 3-3
- W 5-0
- L 0-1
- W 4-1
- L 0-2
Head to head
- 5 Oct 2025 Kashima 0 Gamba Osaka 0 J. League Div.1
- 31 May 2025 Gamba Osaka 0 Kashima 1 J. League Div.1
- 26 Jun 2024 Kashima 0 Gamba Osaka 0 J1 League
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka on 9 October ends a 16-day gap for both clubs, who last played on 23 September, and Superior's pick for their return is Over 1.5 goals. The price is 1.19 and the model puts two or more goals at 83 percent, with Kashima averaging 2.8 goals a game and Gamba 1.8.
Gamba beat Tokushima Vortis 5-0 on 23 September
Both sides went into the break scoring freely, Kashima beating Ventforet Kofu 3-1 and Gamba beating Tokushima Vortis 5-0 on the same night. Kashima's 2.8 goals a game is lifted by a 7-1 win over Newcastle Jets, but their 3-3 draw at Kawasaki Frontale on 19 September came against a J1 rival. The model builds expected goals from measured scoring and conceding, controls thin samples against league baselines, and lands on 1-1 as the forecast correct score, with 2-1 the alternative.
Last season's two meetings finished 0-0 and 1-0
Kashima and Gamba drew 0-0 in October 2025, and Kashima won 1-0 in Osaka that May. Both results lose Over 1.5. Kashima also lost 1-0 at home to Urawa on 6 September and Gamba were beaten 1-0 at home by Vissel Kobe on 20 September, so a single-goal game is a real route for this fixture.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Correct score: 2-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-111.4%Our score
- 2-19.7%Alternative
- 1-08.3%
- 2-07.3%
- 1-27.1%
Top five combined: 43.8%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Kashima win and over 2.5 goals32.6%
- Kashima win and both teams score25.4%
- Gamba Osaka win and over 2.5 goals17.8%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals16.4%
| Kashima | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 72.5% | 51.9% |
| Draw no bet | 63.6% | 36.4% |
| Win to nil | 22.7% | 12.4% |
| Either team wins | 75.6% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 82.6% | 72.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 51.8% | 36.2% |
| Clean sheet | 27.7% | 17.4% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.64
Formations
Confirmed formations
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +19 | 23 | |
| 2 | 10 | +13 | 23 | |
| 3 | 10 | +5 | 21 | |
| 4 | 9 | +12 | 20 | |
| 5 | 10 | +5 | 19 | |
| 6 | 9 | +5 | 19 | |
| 7 | 10 | +5 | 16 | |
| 8 | 10 | +4 | 16 | |
| 9 | 10 | -4 | 15 | |
| 10 | 10 | -1 | 14 | |
| 11 | 9 | 0 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | -4 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | -7 | 12 | |
| 14 | 10 | -2 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | -7 | 9 | |
| 16 | 10 | -8 | 8 | |
| 17 | 9 | -2 | 7 | |
| 18 | 10 | -8 | 7 | |
| 19 | 10 | -11 | 6 | |
| 20 | 10 | -14 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 23 | |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 23 | |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 21 | |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 20 | |
| 5 | Kashima | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 19 | |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 19 | |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 16 | |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 | |
| 9 | Urawa | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 | |
| 10 | Shimizu S-pulse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 14 | |
| 11 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 | |
| 12 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 | |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 12 | |
| 14 | Mito Hollyhock | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 | |
| 15 | V-varen Nagasaki | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 | |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 8 | |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 7 | |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 | |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 6 | |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 4 |