Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino Prediction - 8 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
76%Odds 1.33
Picked at 1.33 · now 1.25
Correct score1-1Alternative1-2
Form
- D 1-1
- W 3-1
- L 0-3
- D 3-3
- L 1-2
- W 3-0
- D 0-0
- L 1-2
- D 1-1
- W 3-1
Head to head
- 14 Jun 2026 Novorizontino 2 Nautico Recife 2 Serie B
Match analysis
Nautico Recife and Novorizontino each score 1.6 goals a game, and Superior takes Over 1.5 goals for Nautico vs Novorizontino on 8 October at 1.33. The model rates two or more goals a 76 percent chance and projects 1-1, the same shape as the 2-2 between them in June.
Nautico and Novorizontino both average 1.6 goals a game
Taken together that is more than double the line. The model sets each side's expected goals from measured scoring and conceding, and neither defence gives it much reason to pull those rates down: Nautico conceded three at Cuiaba and drew 3-3 at home to Operario-PR, and Novorizontino let in two at Ceara. The only meeting on record, a 2-2 at Novorizontino on 14 June, fits the same pattern.
Novorizontino drew 0-0 with Sao Bernardo on 25 September
Over 1.5 loses on 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1. Novorizontino's last five include that goalless home draw and a 1-1 with Cuiaba, and Nautico come off a 1-1 at Fortaleza on 3 October, so these sides do not always open up. A goalless draw like the Sao Bernardo game, or a 1-0 for either team, is what beats the pick.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.64Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.
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League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | +13 | 57 | ||
| 2 | 31 | +16 | 56 | ||
| 3 | 31 | +25 | 54 | ||
| 4 | 31 | +6 | 53 | ||
| 5 | 31 | +9 | 53 | ||
| 6 | 31 | +12 | 52 | ||
| 7 | 31 | +2 | 48 | ||
| 8 | 31 | +2 | 48 | ||
| 9 | 31 | +9 | 47 | ||
| 10 | 31 | +7 | 46 | ||
| 11 | 31 | +11 | 45 | ||
| 12 | 31 | -9 | 42 | ||
| 13 | 31 | +1 | 42 | ||
| 14 | 31 | +2 | 42 | ||
| 15 | 31 | -5 | 39 | ||
| 16 | 31 | -3 | 35 | ||
| 17 | 31 | -12 | 30 | ||
| 18 | 31 | -6 | 28 | ||
| 19 | 31 | -31 | 17 | ||
| 20 | 31 | -49 | 13 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 57 | LWLLW |
| 2 | Juventude | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 56 | WLWWD |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52 | 27 | 25 | 54 | WLLLW |
| 4 | Criciuma | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 53 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 53 | WLWLW |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 52 | WWDWL |
| 7 | CRB | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 48 | WWWDL |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 48 | LWDWW |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 47 | DDDDL |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 46 | DLLDW |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 45 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Goias | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 42 | LDWDW |
| 13 | Nautico Recife | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 42 | DWLLD |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 42 | DWDDL |
| 15 | Ceara | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 39 | WLDDL |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 | LWDDW |
| 17 | Avai | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 30 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Londrina | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 28 | LLDDW |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 17 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 31 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 66 | -49 | 13 | DLLLL |