Sport Recife vs São Bernardo Prediction - 6 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
70%Odds 1.33
Picked at 1.33 · now 1.27
Correct score1-1Alternative2-1
Form
- W 2-1
- L 1-3
- W 2-1
- L 1-2
- W 2-0
- W 3-1
- D 0-0
- W 1-0
- W 2-0
- L 1-2
Head to head
- 14 Jun 2026 São Bernardo 0 Sport Recife 0 Serie B
Match analysis
Sport Recife are safe in mid-table and São Bernardo are clear of both ends of Série B, so neither side has a place riding on 6 October. Superior's pick for Sport Recife vs São Bernardo is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, which the model rates at 70 percent because every one of Sport's last five games reached two goals.
Sport Recife have scored in each of their last five
Sport won 2-1 at Athletic Club on 1 October, lost 3-1 at Náutico in the Recife derby, beat Juventude 2-1 and Ponte Preta 2-0 at home and lost 2-1 at CRB. That is 1.6 goals a game, against São Bernardo's 1.2, and the two averages add up to 2.8. Superior's model builds expected goals for both sides from their measured scoring and conceding, and a home attack that has scored in every recent game keeps two goals well inside the grid, especially with São Bernardo scoring in four of their last five.
São Bernardo kept four clean sheets in five
São Bernardo drew 0-0 at Novorizontino on 25 September and beat Atlético Goianiense 1-0, América Mineiro 2-0 and Ponte Preta 2-0 without conceding. Only Londrina scored against them, in a 2-1 home defeat. The one previous meeting, in June, ended 0-0. If that defence holds Sport to a single goal and São Bernardo do not reply, a 1-0 either way or another 0-0 beats the pick.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.64Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.
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League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | +13 | 57 | ||
| 2 | 31 | +16 | 56 | ||
| 3 | 31 | +25 | 54 | ||
| 4 | 31 | +6 | 53 | ||
| 5 | 31 | +9 | 53 | ||
| 6 | 31 | +12 | 52 | ||
| 7 | 31 | +2 | 48 | ||
| 8 | 31 | +2 | 48 | ||
| 9 | 31 | +9 | 47 | ||
| 10 | 31 | +7 | 46 | ||
| 11 | 31 | +11 | 45 | ||
| 12 | 31 | -9 | 42 | ||
| 13 | 31 | +1 | 42 | ||
| 14 | 31 | +2 | 42 | ||
| 15 | 31 | -5 | 39 | ||
| 16 | 31 | -3 | 35 | ||
| 17 | 31 | -12 | 30 | ||
| 18 | 31 | -6 | 28 | ||
| 19 | 31 | -31 | 17 | ||
| 20 | 31 | -49 | 13 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 57 | LWLLW |
| 2 | Juventude | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 56 | WLWWD |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52 | 27 | 25 | 54 | WLLLW |
| 4 | Criciuma | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 53 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 53 | WLWLW |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 52 | WWDWL |
| 7 | CRB | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 48 | WWWDL |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 48 | LWDWW |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 47 | DDDDL |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 46 | DLLDW |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 45 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Goias | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 42 | LDWDW |
| 13 | Nautico Recife | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 42 | DWLLD |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 42 | DWDDL |
| 15 | Ceara | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 39 | WLDDL |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 | LWDDW |
| 17 | Avai | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 30 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Londrina | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 28 | LLDDW |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 17 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 31 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 66 | -49 | 13 | DLLLL |