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Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys Prediction - 6 October 2026

Copa De La LigaPeruFull time
Alianza Atletico
3-0
Sport Boys

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

76%Odds 1.30Won

Correct score2-1Alternative1-1

4/5 Under 3.5 goals Sport Boys · last 5 games

Form

Alianza Atletico
  1. W 5-2
  2. W 2-1
  3. L 1-3
  4. W 3-2
  5. W 4-1
Sport Boys
  1. L 2-5
  2. D 1-1
  3. W 1-0
  4. L 1-2
  5. W 1-0

Head to head

  1. 27 Sept 2026 Sport Boys 2 Alianza Atletico 5 Copa De La Liga
  2. 19 Apr 2026 Alianza Atletico 0 Sport Boys 1 Primera Division
  3. 16 Nov 2025 Sport Boys 0 Alianza Atletico 1 Primera Division

Bookmaker odds

Home2.02
Draw3.22
Away3.31
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.30
Under 1.52.97
Over 2.52.02
Under 2.51.68
Over 3.53.58
Under 3.51.21
Both teams to score
Yes1.81
No1.86
Odd/Even
Odd1.83
Even1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.74
Away +0.251.89
Methodology

Match analysis

Eight days after winning 5-2 at Sport Boys, Alianza Atletico host the same opponent, and Superior forecasts a 2-1 home win for Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys on 5 October, with 1-1 as the alternative. Alianza have won three of the four meetings since July 2025 and score 3.0 goals a game.

Alianza Atletico score 3.0 goals a game

Alianza scored four or more twice in their last five, 4-1 at UCV Moquegua and 5-2 at Sport Boys, and conceded in all five. The model measures that as a strong attack facing a visitor scoring 1.2 a game, builds expected goals for both from scoring and conceding strength, and checks the sample against the league baseline. That is why the forecast has Alianza scoring twice and conceding once.

Sport Boys won 1-0 at Alianza on 19 April

Sport Boys took the April meeting 1-0, and they also beat Sporting Cristal 1-0 and Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 in their last five. A one-goal Sport Boys win breaks the forecast, and so does the 1-1 alternative, the result they took at Melgar on 20 September. Alianza's 1-3 defeat at Atletico Grau shows their scoring can stall.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 3.5Won1.30
  • Correct score: 1-1Lost7.00
  • Correct score: 2-1Lost9.50
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 2-110.6%Our score
  2. 1-09.4%
  3. 1-18.8%Alternative
  4. 2-08.6%
  5. 3-16.4%

Top five combined: 43.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAlianza AtleticoxG2.07
AwaySport BoysxG1.28
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.9%
9.4%
8.6%
5.2%
2.5%
1.0%
0.5%
1
5.7%
8.8%
11%
6.4%
2.9%
1.1%
0.5%
2
3.0%
6.4%
4.8%
3.7%
1.8%
0.6%
0.3%
3
1.4%
2.4%
2.3%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 58.1%41.9% No
Over 1.5 81.0%19.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 60.6%39.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 37.0%63.0% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Alianza Atletico win and over 2.5 goals38.6%
  2. Alianza Atletico win and both teams score29.3%
  3. Sport Boys win and over 2.5 goals15.7%
  4. Draw and under 2.5 goals12.7%
Alianza AtleticoSport Boys
Outcome markets
Win or draw75.6%43.5%
Draw no bet69.8%30.2%
Win to nil27.2%10.8%
Either team wins80.9%
Team goals
To score85.3%68.9%
Over 1.5 goals57.4%32.8%
Clean sheet31.1%14.7%

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.63
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Prediction, preview and head to head: Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys

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