Velez Sarsfield vs Platense Prediction - 5 October 2026
Correct score1-0Alternative1-1
What is the prediction for Velez Sarsfield vs Platense?
Our correct score is 1-0, then 1-1. Velez Sarsfield are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
A 1-0 Velez win is Superior's forecast for Velez vs Platense on 5 October, with 1-1 as the alternative. Velez are unbeaten in five, and Platense come in on a short turnaround after losing two of their last three league games.
Velez are unbeaten in their last five
Velez beat Tigre 3-2 and Estudiantes 1-0 at home and drew at Newell's, Riestra and River Plate, and they score 1.6 goals a game against Platense's 1.2. The model's expected goals for each side come from that scoring and conceding strength, adjusted for match context such as rest, and here the home side's rate sits clearly higher. Platense lost 0-1 at home to Newell's on 20 September and 1-2 at Estudiantes before that.
Platense beat Fluminense 2-1 and 2-0 in September
Those two wins show Platense can score against good opposition, and any Platense goal ends the 1-0 forecast. Velez won 2-0 at Platense in March and drew 0-0 there in July 2025, so neither recent meeting finished 1-0. Velez also conceded twice at River Plate and twice against Tigre, which points toward the 1-1 alternative.
More tips for this game
- Correct score: 1-0
Today's acca
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Formations
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 March 2026 | Platense | 0 - 2 | Velez Sarsfield |
| 19 July 2025 | Platense | 0 - 0 | Velez Sarsfield |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | +14 | 34 | ||
| 1 | 16 | +12 | 31 | ||
| 2 | 16 | +10 | 29 | ||
| 2 | 16 | +13 | 30 | ||
| 3 | 16 | +6 | 28 | ||
| 3 | 16 | +4 | 29 | ||
| 4 | 16 | +4 | 28 | ||
| 4 | 16 | +4 | 26 | ||
| 5 | 16 | +4 | 26 | ||
| 5 | 16 | +4 | 24 | ||
| 6 | 16 | +3 | 24 | ||
| 6 | 16 | 0 | 26 | ||
| 7 | 16 | +4 | 22 | ||
| 7 | 16 | 0 | 22 | ||
| 7 | 16 | 0 | 22 | ||
| 8 | 16 | +2 | 21 | ||
| 8 | 16 | +4 | 21 | ||
| 9 | 16 | 0 | 21 | ||
| 9 | 16 | 0 | 21 | ||
| 10 | 16 | -3 | 19 | ||
| 10 | 16 | +3 | 20 | ||
| 11 | 16 | -7 | 19 | ||
| 11 | 16 | -8 | 19 | ||
| 12 | 16 | -2 | 18 | ||
| 12 | 16 | -5 | 16 | ||
| 13 | 16 | -5 | 14 | ||
| 13 | 16 | -10 | 16 | ||
| 14 | 16 | -12 | 15 | ||
| 14 | 16 | -13 | 8 | ||
| 15 | 16 | -7 | 11 | ||
| 15 | 16 | -19 | 5 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | |
| 1 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | |
| 3 | Argentinos Juniors | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 | |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 | |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 | |
| 6 | Gimnasia La Plata | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 | |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 | |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 | |
| 7 | San Lorenzo de Almagro | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 | |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 | |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 | |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 | |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 | |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 | |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 | |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 | |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 | |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 | |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 | |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 | |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 | |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |