Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction

Our pick:Home win

79%Odds 1.29Lost

Correct score2-0Alternative2-1

5/5 Wins Castellón · last 5 games

Form

Castellón

W 2-0
W 5-0
W 2-1
W 2-0
W 2-1

AD Ceuta FC

W 3-1
D 1-1
L 1-3
L 0-2
L 0-3

Head to head

9 May 2026 AD Ceuta FC 1 Castellón 1 Segunda Division
14 Sept 2025 Castellón 3 AD Ceuta FC 3 Segunda Division

Bookmaker odds

Home1.23

Draw6.95

Away10.00

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.05

Under 1.56.45

Over 2.51.28

Under 2.53.08

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Both teams to score

Yes1.66

No2.09

Odd/Even

Odd1.83

Even1.85

Handicap

Home -1.751.82

Away +1.751.99

Methodology

Match analysis

Ceuta arrive in Castellón on a short turnaround to face a side that has won all five of its last games. Superior's pick for Castellón vs AD Ceuta on 4 October is the home win at 1.29, and the model rates it at 79 percent with 2-0 as the correct score.

Castellón have conceded twice while winning five straight

The run includes a 5-0 home win over Tenerife and away wins at Girona, Leganés and Celta de Vigo II. Castellón score 2.6 goals a game against Ceuta's 1.0, and once Superior turns measured scoring and conceding into expected goals for both sides, most of the score distribution sits on a home win. Ceuta's road form points the same way: they lost both of their away games in the run, 3-1 at Burgos and 3-0 at Mallorca.

Both meetings with Ceuta finished level

Castellón drew 3-3 at home to Ceuta in September 2025 and 1-1 away in May, so neither meeting in the data produced a winner. The bet needs a Castellón win, and a draw of either kind loses it. Ceuta also scored in three of their last five, including a 3-1 win over Real Sociedad II on 26 September, so the clean sheet in the 2-0 forecast is far from certain.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Match Winner: HomeLost1.29

Compare bookmakers

After full time

Top five correct scores

2-012.0%Our score
1-012.2%
2-19.8%Alternative
1-19.0%
3-08.9%

Top five combined: 51.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCastellónxG2.14

AwayAD Ceuta FCxG0.67

5.3%

12%

8.9%

5.1%

2.4%

1.2%

3.7%

9.0%

9.8%

6.9%

3.9%

1.7%

0.9%

1.4%

3.2%

3.3%

2.6%

1.4%

0.6%

0.3%

0.4%

0.8%

0.6%

0.4%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 47.2%52.8% No

Over 1.5 78.7%21.3% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 56.4%43.6% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 34.0%66.0% Under 3.5

Combos

Castellón win and over 2.5 goals46.4%
Castellón win and both teams score28.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.3%
AD Ceuta FC win and over 2.5 goals6.0%

Outcome markets
	Castellón	AD Ceuta FC
Win or draw	88.9%	29.4%
Draw no bet	86.4%	13.6%
Win to nil	41.9%	5.6%
Either team wins	81.8%
Team goals
To score	89.1%	52.8%
Over 1.5 goals	63.5%	16.9%
Clean sheet	47.2%	10.9%

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.63

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Formations

Confirmed formations

Castellón: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)AD Ceuta FC: 4-3-3(confirmed lineup)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC

League table

Segunda DivisionSpain · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	10	8	0	2	20	7	+13	24
2	Castellón	10	7	2	1	18	4	+14	23
3	Eibar	10	7	1	2	20	11	+9	22
4	Sporting Gijon	10	6	1	3	11	9	+2	19
5	Girona	10	5	3	2	17	9	+8	18
6	Mallorca	10	5	3	2	12	5	+7	18
7	Granada CF	10	5	2	3	16	13	+3	17
8	Burgos	10	5	2	3	13	10	+3	17
9	Oviedo	10	5	2	3	13	10	+3	17
10	Sabadell	10	4	4	2	10	8	+2	16
11	Eldense	10	4	2	4	13	13	0	14
12	Valladolid	10	3	3	4	15	14	+1	12
13	Tenerife	9	3	3	3	11	13	-2	12
14	Cordoba	10	4	0	6	15	20	-5	12
15	Celta de Vigo II	9	3	2	4	14	15	-1	11
16	Las Palmas	10	3	2	5	13	19	-6	11
17	Leganes	10	3	2	5	6	15	-9	11
18	FC Andorra	10	3	1	6	13	17	-4	10
19	Real Sociedad II	10	2	2	6	14	21	-7	8
20	Cadiz	10	1	4	5	11	13	-2	7
21	AD Ceuta FC	10	1	2	7	9	22	-13	5
22	Albacete	10	0	1	9	6	22	-16	1

Relegation

Segunda Division - League table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Almeria	10	8	0	2	20	7	13	24
2	Castellón	10	7	2	1	18	4	14	23
3	Eibar	10	7	1	2	20	11	9	22
4	Sporting Gijon	10	6	1	3	11	9	2	19
5	Girona	10	5	3	2	17	9	8	18
6	Mallorca	10	5	3	2	12	5	7	18
7	Granada CF	10	5	2	3	16	13	3	17
8	Burgos	10	5	2	3	13	10	3	17
9	Oviedo	10	5	2	3	13	10	3	17
10	Sabadell	10	4	4	2	10	8	2	16
11	Eldense	10	4	2	4	13	13	0	14
12	Valladolid	10	3	3	4	15	14	1	12
13	Tenerife	9	3	3	3	11	13	-2	12
14	Cordoba	10	4	0	6	15	20	-5	12
15	Celta de Vigo II	9	3	2	4	14	15	-1	11
16	Las Palmas	10	3	2	5	13	19	-6	11
17	Leganes	10	3	2	5	6	15	-9	11
18	FC Andorra	10	3	1	6	13	17	-4	10
19	Real Sociedad II	10	2	2	6	14	21	-7	8
20	Cadiz	10	1	4	5	11	13	-2	7
21	AD Ceuta FC	10	1	2	7	9	22	-13	5
22	Albacete	10	0	1	9	6	22	-16	1

Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction - 4 October 2026

Form

Head to head

Bookmaker odds

Match analysis

Castellón have conceded twice while winning five straight

Both meetings with Ceuta finished level

More tips for this game

Premium

Top five correct scores

Goals and BTTS chances

Combos

More Segunda Division predictions

Confirmed formations

League table