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Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife Prediction - 3 October 2026

Serie BBrazilFull time
Fortaleza EC
1-1
Nautico Recife

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

76%Odds 1.28Won

Correct score1-0Alternative1-1

Bookmaker odds

Home1.57price falling, opened at 1.78
Draw4.22price rising, opened at 3.80
Away5.55price rising, opened at 4.40
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.28price falling, opened at 1.33
Under 1.53.40price rising, opened at 3.10
Over 2.51.90price falling, opened at 2.02
Under 2.51.90price rising, opened at 1.80
Over 3.53.09price falling, opened at 3.42
Under 3.51.34price rising, opened at 1.28
Both teams to score
Yes1.94price rising, opened at 1.93
No1.77price falling, opened at 1.78
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price falling, opened at 1.86
Even1.85price rising, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home -11.96
Away +11.76

What is the prediction for Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife?

Our correct score is 1-0, then 1-1. Fortaleza EC are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Under 3.5 goals is Superior's selection for Fortaleza vs Nautico on the night of 2 October, and the price is 1.28. The model rates it at 76 percent, since the two sides' recent scoring adds up to three goals a game between them and Fortaleza have let in more than one only once in five.

Fortaleza average 1.4 goals a game and Nautico 1.6

Add the two scoring averages from the last five and you reach 3.0 goals, still half a goal under the line before either defence is counted. Fortaleza's defending is the tighter piece: 1-0 wins over Avai and at Goias, a 1-1 with Ceara, and only the 2-2 with Athletic Club went above two goals. The model turns each side's scoring and conceding into an expected rate and spreads it across every score, which puts the correct score at 1-0 with 1-1 next. The only recent meeting, in Recife in June, finished 1-0 to Fortaleza.

Nautico drew 3-3 with Operario

Nautico can open a game up at both ends: their last five include that 3-3 with Operario and a 3-1 win over Sport Recife. If they bring that version to Fortaleza, a 2-2 or a 3-1 either way beats the bet, because the line loses on the fourth goal. A 2-1 or a 3-0 still pays.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 3.5Won1.28
  • Correct score: 1-0Lost6.00
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-014.7%Our score
  2. 1-112.5%Alternative
  3. 2-010.3%
  4. 2-110.1%
  5. 0-09.4%

Top five combined: 57.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFortaleza ECxG1.49
AwayNautico RecifexG0.88
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.4%
15%
10%
4.8%
1.7%
0.5%
0.2%
1
7.8%
13%
10%
4.4%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
2
3.2%
5.3%
4.1%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
1.0%
1.5%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 46.1%53.9% No
Over 1.5 68.1%31.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 42.1%57.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 20.8%79.2% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Fortaleza EC win and over 2.5 goals27.1%
Fortaleza EC win and both teams score19.9%
Nautico Recife win and over 2.5 goals10.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.9%
Outcome markets
Fortaleza EC or draw78.8%
Nautico Recife or draw47.8%
Either team wins73.4%
Draw no bet: Fortaleza EC71.1%
Draw no bet: Nautico Recife28.9%
Fortaleza EC win to nil32.3%
Nautico Recife win to nil12.3%
Team goals
Fortaleza EC to score78.3%
Nautico Recife to score58.4%
Fortaleza EC over 1.5 goals43.8%
Nautico Recife over 1.5 goals21.5%
Fortaleza EC clean sheet41.6%
Nautico Recife clean sheet21.7%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.61

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More Serie B predictions

Avai
Ceara
Total goals: Over 1.568% 1.44
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Match Winner: Home72% 1.38
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Match Winner: Home84% 1.19
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Formations

Expected formations

Fortaleza EC: 4-3-3(predicted)Nautico Recife: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife
Head to Head

Head to Head

Nautico Recife
0 - 1
Fortaleza EC
9 June 2026
Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
9 June 2026Nautico Recife0 - 1Fortaleza EC
League Table

League Table

Serie BBrazil · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Vila Nova
3016684331+1254
2
Juventude
3015873219+1353
3
Fortaleza EC
30141063526+952
4
Novorizontino
3014974927+2251
5
Criciuma
3014883127+450
6
Atletico Goianiense
30131073727+1049
7
CRB
30146104541+448
8
Operario-PR
3013984338+548
9
Sport Recife
31121184233+947
10
Cuiaba
30101373025+543
11
Goias
30126123036-642
12
São Bernardo
30119104031+942
13
Athletic Club
31101293735+242
14
Nautico Recife
30118113837+141
15
Ceara
3099123339-636
16
Botafogo SP
3098133436-235
17
Avai
3086163041-1130
18
Londrina
3077163943-428
19
America Mineiro
3045212150-2917
20
Ponte Preta
3034231764-4713
Relegation
Serie B - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Vila Nova30166843311254LWLLW
2Juventude30158732191353WLWWD
3Fortaleza EC30141063526952WLWLW
4Novorizontino30149749272251WLLLW
5Criciuma3014883127450DWWWW
6Atletico Goianiense301310737271049WWDWL
7CRB30146104541448WWWDL
8Operario-PR3013984338548LWDWW
9Sport Recife31121184233947DDDDL
10Cuiaba30101373025543DLLDW
11Goias30126123036-642LDWDW
12São Bernardo30119104031942LLDDL
13Athletic Club31101293735242DWDDL
14Nautico Recife30118113837141DWLLD
15Ceara3099123339-636WLDDL
16Botafogo SP3098133436-235LWDDW
17Avai3086163041-1130LWDWL
18Londrina3077163943-428LLDDW
19America Mineiro3045212150-2917WLDDL
20Ponte Preta3034231764-4713DLLLL