Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo Prediction - 3 October 2026
Our pick:Under 2.5 goals
66%Odds 1.46
Correct score1-1Alternative1-0
What is the prediction for Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-0. Defensa Y Justicia are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
San Lorenzo have not played a game with more than two goals in their last five, and Superior takes Under 2.5 goals at 1.46 when they visit Defensa y Justicia on 3 October. The model's probability for it is 66 percent, with 1-1 the correct score.
San Lorenzo's 0-0 at Estudiantes began a run of low scores
San Lorenzo's 0-0 at Estudiantes opened a five-game run in which they never scored more than once: a 1-0 defeat at Instituto, a 1-0 win over Talleres, 1-1 at Independiente and a 2-0 home defeat to Boca Juniors. They average 0.4 goals a game. Defensa score more, 1.4 a game, and their wins were tight too, 2-0 over Gimnasia Mendoza and 1-0 over Platense. The model's expected rates come from scoring and conceding, and a visiting attack at San Lorenzo's level pulls the whole score grid down, putting 1-1 first and 1-0 second.
Defensa won 5-2 at San Lorenzo in March
The March meeting ended 5-2 to Defensa away from home, and two of Defensa's last five reached three goals or more, a 2-2 at Central Cordoba and a 2-1 at Belgrano. Three goals loses this bet, so a 2-1 is enough; Defensa scoring twice at home is the realistic route, because San Lorenzo rarely add one of their own.
More tips for this game
- Correct score: 1-0
- Correct score: 1-1
Today's acca
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Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 March 2026 | San Lorenzo | 2 - 5 | Defensa Y Justicia |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | +14 | 34 | ||
| 1 | 16 | +12 | 31 | ||
| 2 | 16 | +10 | 29 | ||
| 2 | 16 | +13 | 30 | ||
| 3 | 16 | +6 | 28 | ||
| 3 | 16 | +4 | 29 | ||
| 4 | 16 | +4 | 28 | ||
| 4 | 16 | +4 | 26 | ||
| 5 | 16 | +4 | 26 | ||
| 5 | 16 | +4 | 24 | ||
| 6 | 16 | +3 | 24 | ||
| 6 | 16 | 0 | 26 | ||
| 7 | 16 | +4 | 22 | ||
| 7 | 16 | 0 | 22 | ||
| 7 | 16 | 0 | 22 | ||
| 8 | 16 | +2 | 21 | ||
| 8 | 16 | +4 | 21 | ||
| 9 | 16 | 0 | 21 | ||
| 9 | 16 | 0 | 21 | ||
| 10 | 16 | -3 | 19 | ||
| 10 | 16 | +3 | 20 | ||
| 11 | 16 | -7 | 19 | ||
| 11 | 16 | -8 | 19 | ||
| 12 | 16 | -2 | 18 | ||
| 12 | 16 | -5 | 16 | ||
| 13 | 16 | -5 | 14 | ||
| 13 | 16 | -10 | 16 | ||
| 14 | 16 | -12 | 15 | ||
| 14 | 16 | -13 | 8 | ||
| 15 | 16 | -7 | 11 | ||
| 15 | 16 | -19 | 5 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | |
| 1 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | |
| 3 | Argentinos Juniors | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 | |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 | |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 | |
| 6 | Gimnasia La Plata | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 | |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 | |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 | |
| 7 | San Lorenzo de Almagro | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 | |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 | |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 | |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 | |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 | |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 | |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 | |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 | |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 | |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 | |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 | |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 | |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 | |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |