Malaga vs Real Sociedad Prediction - 18 October 2026
Our pick:Away under 2.5 goals
79%Odds 1.20Lost
Correct score1-1Alternative1-2
Form
- D 1-1
- L 0-1
- L 1-3
- D 1-1
- D 0-0
- D 1-1
- W 3-2
- W 3-2
- L 1-2
- L 0-3
Match analysis
Real Sociedad Under 2.5 goals at Malaga is the bet, because Malaga have let in more than one goal only once in their last five, a 3-1 home defeat to Villarreal. The visitors also arrive on short rest, kicking off on Sunday three days after a Europa League 1-1 in Belgium.
One goal or none against Malaga in four of five
Espanyol, Getafe and Celta Vigo each scored once against Malaga, and Levante left with a 0-0 on 6 September. Malaga's own scoring is thin, three single goals and two blanks, so their games have stayed tight and low. A 1-1 draw heads Superior's forecast with 1-2 behind it, and neither puts Real Sociedad near three.
Real Sociedad's 3-2 wins over Valencia and Deportivo
Real Sociedad did score three twice in that stretch, 3-2 at Valencia in September and 3-2 against Deportivo La Coruna on 11 October, and that attack is the real threat to this bet. Around those two games they scored once at Union in midweek, once in a home defeat to Bournemouth and not at all when Atletico Madrid won 3-0 in San Sebastian. Three goals away from home, against a defence that has allowed that many once since September, after a Thursday night in Europe, is a lot to ask.
More tips for this game
- Top pick 3Goals: Over 1.5
- Corners: Over 7.5
- Home Goals: Over 0.5
- Double Chance: Draw/Away
- Away Goals: Under 2.5
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-112.0%Our score
- 0-18.9%
- 1-28.8%Alternative
- 1-08.4%
- 2-18.4%
Top five combined: 46.5%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Real Sociedad win and over 2.5 goals23.0%
- Malaga win and over 2.5 goals22.1%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals18.6%
- Malaga win and both teams score18.2%
| Malaga | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 62.1% | 63.7% |
| Draw no bet | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Win to nil | 18.1% | 19.3% |
| Either team wins | 74.2% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 74.1% | 75.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 39.4% | 40.6% |
| Clean sheet | 24.7% | 25.9% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.64
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +30 | 27 | |
| 2 | 9 | +11 | 22 | |
| 3 | 9 | +14 | 21 | |
| 4 | 9 | +2 | 19 | |
| 5 | 9 | 0 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | -2 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 | 9 | +3 | 11 | |
| 9 | 9 | +1 | 11 | |
| 10 | 9 | -8 | 11 | |
| 11 | 7 | +1 | 9 | |
| 12 | 9 | 0 | 9 | |
| 13 | 9 | -1 | 8 | |
| 14 | 7 | -5 | 8 | |
| 15 | 8 | -6 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | -12 | 8 | |
| 17 | 8 | -4 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | -6 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | -9 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | -12 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 9 | 30 | 27 | |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 | |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 21 | |
| 4 | Real Betis | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 | |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 | |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 | |
| 7 | Alaves | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 11 | |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 | |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 11 | |
| 10 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 | |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 | |
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | |
| 13 | Espanyol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 | |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 | |
| 15 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 8 | |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 | |
| 17 | Levante | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 7 | |
| 18 | Elche | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 7 | |
| 19 | Valencia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 | |
| 20 | Malaga | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |