Everton vs Chelsea Prediction - 17 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
81%Odds 1.22Won
Correct score1-1Alternative1-2
Form
- D 2-2
- W 1-0
- W 1-0
- D 0-0
- D 2-2
- W 5-1
- L 0-3
- D 2-2
- W 6-3
- L 1-2
Head to head
- 21 Mar 2026 Everton 3 Chelsea 0 Premier League
- 13 Dec 2025 Chelsea 2 Everton 0 Premier League
- 26 Apr 2025 Chelsea 1 Everton 0 Premier League
Match analysis
Superior backs Over 1.5 goals at Everton because Chelsea's games keep opening up: they conceded in each of their last five, from the 3-0 defeat at Brentford to the 6-3 win over Leeds, and scored in four of them. Everton's own tight results are the obstacle.
Everton's 1-0s and a goalless trip to Tottenham
Three of Everton's last five stayed under two goals: 1-0 home wins over Wolves and Ipswich and a 0-0 at Tottenham. They also won 1-0 at Chelsea in April 2025, the first of three straight wins over them. Everton average 1.2 goals a game, and their goals have come one at a time lately.
Everton's 2-2s with Manchester United and Hull City
The two meetings since then went 2-0 at Chelsea and 3-0 at Everton, both clearing the line, and Everton's two draws this autumn were 2-2s, at home to Manchester United and at Hull City on 11 October. Chelsea beat Bournemouth 5-1 last time out and lost 2-1 at Arsenal before that, and Superior's most likely score is 1-1, with a 2-1 Chelsea win next.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Away Goals: Under 2.5
- Top pick 5Corners: Under 12.5
- Double Chance: Draw/Away
- Home Goals: Over 0.5
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-112.1%Our score
- 1-29.0%Alternative
- 0-18.4%
- 2-18.0%
- 1-07.4%
Top five combined: 44.9%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Chelsea win and over 2.5 goals25.6%
- Everton win and over 2.5 goals21.6%
- Everton win and both teams score17.9%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals17.9%
| Everton | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 59.8% | 66.0% |
| Draw no bet | 45.8% | 54.2% |
| Win to nil | 16.1% | 19.7% |
| Either team wins | 74.3% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 74.5% | 78.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 39.7% | 44.2% |
| Clean sheet | 22.0% | 25.5% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.64
Formations
Confirmed formations
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +12 | 21 | |
| 2 | 7 | +6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 7 | +18 | 16 | |
| 4 | 7 | +4 | 13 | |
| 5 | 7 | +1 | 12 | |
| 6 | 7 | +5 | 10 | |
| 7 | 7 | +3 | 10 | |
| 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 | |
| 9 | 7 | +1 | 9 | |
| 10 | 7 | -4 | 9 | |
| 11 | 7 | -4 | 8 | |
| 12 | 7 | -4 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
| 14 | 7 | -8 | 7 | |
| 15 | 7 | -4 | 6 | |
| 16 | 6 | -6 | 6 | |
| 17 | 7 | -3 | 5 | |
| 18 | 7 | -4 | 5 | |
| 19 | 7 | -8 | 4 | |
| 20 | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 | |
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 18 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 16 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 13 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 10 | |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 | |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 | |
| 9 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 | |
| 10 | Ipswich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 9 | |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 | |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 | |
| 13 | Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 7 | |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 | |
| 17 | Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 | |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 | |
| 19 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | |
| 20 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |