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Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Prediction - 13 October 2026

ChampionshipEnglandFull time
Stoke City
2-3
Middlesbrough

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

80%Odds 1.24Won

Correct score1-1Alternative1-2

5/5 Over 1.5 goals Stoke City · last 5 games

Form

Stoke City
  1. W 2-1
  2. W 2-1
  3. W 2-1
  4. D 1-1
  5. W 4-0
Middlesbrough
  1. W 1-0
  2. D 2-2
  3. D 2-2
  4. W 4-3
  5. L 0-3

Head to head

  1. 21 Jan 2026 Stoke City 1 Middlesbrough 2 Championship
  2. 30 Sept 2025 Middlesbrough 0 Stoke City 0 Championship
  3. 25 Feb 2025 Stoke City 1 Middlesbrough 3 Championship

Bookmaker odds

Home3.63price rising, opened at 3.56
Draw3.64price rising, opened at 3.60
Away1.92price falling, opened at 1.94
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.19
Under 1.53.76
Over 2.51.74
Under 2.52.02
Over 3.52.74
Under 3.51.35
Both teams to score
Yes1.64
No2.13
Odd/Even
Odd1.84
Even1.84
Handicap
Home +0.252.08
Away -0.251.62
Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Stoke have won four of their last five, and Superior still expects a 1-1 draw against Middlesbrough, with a 2-1 Boro win the next most likely score. Boro won 2-1 at Stoke in January, and the two sides average 2.0 and 1.8 goals a game, the highest pairing in Tuesday's Championship games.

Boro's last three games: 2-2, 2-2, 4-3

Middlesbrough drew 2-2 at Birmingham on 19 September and 2-2 at home to Millwall, and beat Norwich 4-3 before that. Their 3-0 defeat at Crystal Palace was the one game in five where they did not find the net, and they won 1-0 at QPR.

Stoke's wins have been narrow

Stoke beat Sheffield United 2-1, won 2-1 at Watford and beat Norwich 1-0, with the 4-0 over Charlton the only comfortable one, and they drew 1-1 at Cardiff. The two meetings last season split 0-0 at Middlesbrough and 2-1 to Boro at Stoke. Middlesbrough have scored in four of their last five, and that January defeat is the last time Stoke saw them.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Over 1.5Won1.24
  • Double Chance: Draw/AwayWon1.26
  • Home Goals: Over 0.5Won1.34
  • Away Goals: Under 2.5Lost1.25
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-113.3%Our score
  2. 0-19.8%
  3. 1-09.5%
  4. 1-28.3%Alternative
  5. 2-18.1%

Top five combined: 49.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeStoke CityxG1.12
AwayMiddlesbroughxG1.49
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.5%
9.5%
5.9%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
9.8%
13%
8.1%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
6.7%
8.3%
5.3%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
3.2%
3.6%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.1%
1.2%
0.8%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 52.6%47.4% No
Over 1.5 73.2%26.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 47.3%52.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 25.3%74.7% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Middlesbrough win and over 2.5 goals22.1%
  2. Draw and under 2.5 goals20.8%
  3. Stoke City win and over 2.5 goals18.9%
  4. Stoke City win and both teams score15.6%
Stoke CityMiddlesbrough
Outcome markets
Win or draw61.4%65.7%
Draw no bet47.1%52.9%
Win to nil18.8%21.2%
Either team wins72.9%
Team goals
To score71.3%73.7%
Over 1.5 goals34.9%38.4%
Clean sheet26.3%28.7%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.64
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More Championship predictions

Millwall
Swansea
Total goals: Over 1.577% 1.31
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Blackburn
Total - Home: Under 2.577% 1.22
Burnley
Charlton
Total goals: Over 1.576% 1.29
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Prediction, preview and head to head: Stoke City vs Middlesbrough
League table

League table

ChampionshipEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1
Swansea
11722168+823
2
West Ham
116413012+1822
3
Middlesbrough
116412216+622
4
Birmingham
115512011+920
5
West Brom
116231512+320
6
Stoke City
116141816+219
7
Southampton
116322110+1117
8
Wolves
105231815+317
9
QPR
114521512+317
10
Blackburn
114341716+115
11
Sheffield United
114341514+115
12
Millwall
114341818015
13
Portsmouth
104241313014
14
Wrexham
113531516-114
15
Bolton
114251518-314
16
Bristol City
114251215-314
17
Charlton
113531015-514
18
Lincoln
11335919-1012
19
Cardiff
112541817+111
20
Watford
113261019-911
21
Norwich
113081721-49
22
Burnley
111551621-58
23
Derby
11137920-116
24
Preston
11119924-154
Relegation
Championship - League table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Swansea11722168823
2West Ham1164130121822
3Middlesbrough116412216622
4Birmingham115512011920
5West Brom116231512320
6Stoke City116141816219
7Southampton1163221101117
8Wolves105231815317
9QPR114521512317
10Blackburn114341716115
11Sheffield United114341514115
12Millwall114341818015
13Portsmouth104241313014
14Wrexham113531516-114
15Bolton114251518-314
16Bristol City114251215-314
17Charlton113531015-514
18Lincoln11335919-1012
19Cardiff112541817111
20Watford113261019-911
21Norwich113081721-49
22Burnley111551621-58
23Derby11137920-116
24Preston11119924-154

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