Skip to picks
Offers

Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction - 12 October 2026

Serie ABrazilFull time
Chapecoense-sc
1-4
Atletico Paranaense
Top pick 3

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

74%Odds 1.32Won

Correct score1-1Alternative1-2

5/5 Over 1.5 goals Chapecoense-sc · last 5 games

Form

Chapecoense-sc
  1. L 0-4
  2. D 1-1
  3. D 1-1
  4. L 1-2
  5. W 2-1
Atletico Paranaense
  1. D 2-2
  2. W 2-1
  3. D 3-3
  4. L 1-3
  5. D 3-3

Head to head

  1. 12 Apr 2026 Atletico Paranaense 2 Chapecoense-sc 0 Serie A
  2. 17 Sept 2025 Chapecoense-sc 2 Atletico Paranaense 3 Serie B
  3. 9 May 2025 Atletico Paranaense 1 Chapecoense-sc 1 Serie B

Bookmaker odds

Home3.82price rising, opened at 3.50
Draw3.62price rising, opened at 3.44
Away1.94price falling, opened at 2.09
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.21price falling, opened at 1.26
Under 1.53.58price rising, opened at 3.20
Over 2.51.81price falling, opened at 1.94
Under 2.52.00price rising, opened at 1.86
Over 3.52.83price falling, opened at 3.14
Under 3.51.33price rising, opened at 1.27
Both teams to score
Yes1.66price falling, opened at 1.73
No2.09price rising, opened at 2.00
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price falling, opened at 1.87
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home +0.252.10price rising, opened at 1.94
Away -0.251.61price falling, opened at 1.72
Methodology

Match analysis

Atletico Paranaense's last five games all had three goals or more, two of them 3-3 draws, and they score 2.4 a game. Chapecoense are fighting at the bottom and have conceded in all of their last five, so Superior backs Over 1.5 goals, a 74% chance priced 1.32.

Two 3-3 draws in three weeks

Atletico Paranaense drew 3-3 at Coritiba on 12 September and 3-3 with Fluminense on 30 August, won 3-2 at Botafogo and 2-1 against Bahia, and lost 1-3 at Cruzeiro.

Where Chapecoense's own goals come from

Chapecoense lost 0-4 at Vitoria on 7 October and 1-2 at home to Internacional, and score 1.0 goal a game. Their 2-1 win at Corinthians and a 1-1 at Atletico-MG show they usually find one, though they have not kept a clean sheet in that run.

Three meetings since May 2025

The meetings went 0-2, 2-3 and 1-1 from Chapecoense's side, all of them two goals or more. 1-1 is the forecast correct score here, a 1-2 Atletico win the next most likely.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Over 1.5Won1.32
  • Correct score: 1-1Lost6.50
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-112.1%Our score
  2. 0-19.2%
  3. 1-29.1%Alternative
  4. 1-08.4%
  5. 2-18.1%

Top five combined: 46.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeChapecoense-scxG1.21
AwayAtletico ParanaensexG1.56
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.4%
8.4%
5.3%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
9.2%
12%
8.1%
3.1%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
6.7%
9.1%
5.8%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
3.5%
4.2%
2.7%
1.2%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.3%
1.5%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 55.4%44.6% No
Over 1.5 76.0%24.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 51.9%48.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 29.0%71.0% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Atletico Paranaense win and over 2.5 goals25.2%
  2. Chapecoense-sc win and over 2.5 goals19.6%
  3. Draw and under 2.5 goals18.5%
  4. Chapecoense-sc win and both teams score16.3%
Chapecoense-scAtletico Paranaense
Outcome markets
Win or draw58.9%66.7%
Draw no bet44.7%55.3%
Win to nil17.0%21.2%
Either team wins74.4%
Team goals
To score72.4%76.6%
Over 1.5 goals36.6%42.8%
Clean sheet23.4%27.6%

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.64
Get free picks and the morning acca every day.Join

More Serie A predictions

Coritiba
Botafogo
Total goals: Over 1.577% 1.29
View all predictions
League table

League table

Serie ABrazil · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Flamengo
3120746125+3667
2
Palmeiras
3119935422+3266
3
Atletico Paranaense
3115884937+1253
4
Cruzeiro FC
31156105046+451
5
Fluminense
3114984939+1051
6
Atletico-MG
3114894235+750
7
Bahia
31131084439+549
8
Santos
31129104846+245
9
Sao Paulo
31126133635+142
10
RB Bragantino
31118123936+341
11
Botafogo
31109124448-439
12
Coritiba
31109123849-1139
13
Vitoria
30106143344-1136
14
Mirassol
3199133644-836
15
Vasco DA Gama
3098133643-735
16
Corinthians
3088143138-732
17
Internacional
31711133340-732
18
Gremio
31710143444-1031
19
Remo
31511153449-1526
20
Chapecoense-sc
3039183062-3218
Relegation
Serie A - League table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Flamengo31207461253667DDWWL
2Palmeiras31199354223266WLWWW
3Atletico Paranaense31158849371253DWWWW
4Cruzeiro FC31156105046451
5Fluminense31149849391051DDDDL
6Atletico-MG3114894235750WDWLW
7Bahia31131084439549DDDWW
8Santos31129104846245DLWLL
9Sao Paulo31126133635142DLLDL
10RB Bragantino31118123936341DDWWW
11Botafogo31109124448-439WDWLD
12Coritiba31109123849-1139LDLLW
13Vitoria30106143344-1136LLDWL
14Mirassol3199133644-836WDWLW
15Vasco DA Gama3098133643-735DLLLL
16Corinthians3088143138-732DDWWW
17Internacional31711133340-732DLLLL
18Gremio31710143444-1031DLLWD
19Remo31511153449-1526LWLWL
20Chapecoense-sc3039183062-3218