Swansea vs Norwich Prediction - 10 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
79%Odds 1.25
Correct score1-1Alternative2-1
Form
- W 2-1
- W 3-1
- L 1-3
- D 0-0
- W 2-0
- L 3-4
- L 0-5
- L 3-4
- W 2-1
- W 3-1
Head to head
- 25 Apr 2026 Norwich 1 Swansea 1 Championship
- 25 Oct 2025 Swansea 2 Norwich 1 Championship
Match analysis
Swansea vs Norwich on 10 October sets Norwich's 2.2 goals a game against a Swansea side scoring 1.6, and Norwich have conceded four or more in three of their last four. Superior's pick is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, rated a 79 percent chance by the model.
Norwich lost 3-4 to Bolton and 3-4 at Middlesbrough
Every Norwich game in their last five produced at least three goals, and they scored in four of them. Superior's score distribution comes from both sides' expected goals, so an away attack at that rate and a defence conceding at that rate push most plausible results past one goal. Swansea have won three of their last five, including 3-1 over Burnley on 12 September. The correct score forecast is 1-1, with 2-1 the alternative.
Swansea drew 0-0 with Wrexham on 5 September
Swansea kept two clean sheets in five, that 0-0 and a 2-0 over Watford on 1 September. If their back line holds Norwich the way it held Wrexham and Swansea score once, a 1-0 home win loses this pick.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Today's acca
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League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | 17 | |
| 2 | 8 | +11 | 15 | |
| 3 | 8 | +4 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | 13 | |
| 6 | 8 | +1 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | -1 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | -3 | 12 | |
| 9 | 6 | +4 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 13 | 8 | +9 | 10 | |
| 14 | 8 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | 7 | 0 | 9 | |
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 17 | 8 | -2 | 9 | |
| 18 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 19 | 8 | -3 | 8 | |
| 20 | 8 | -2 | 7 | |
| 21 | 7 | -5 | 7 | |
| 22 | 8 | -7 | 5 | |
| 23 | 8 | -7 | 4 | |
| 24 | 8 | -8 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 | |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 | |
| 4 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | |
| 5 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | |
| 6 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | |
| 7 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | |
| 8 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | |
| 9 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 | |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | |
| 17 | Sheffield United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | |
| 19 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | |
| 20 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | |
| 21 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 | |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |