Sunderland vs Brighton Prediction - 10 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
78%Odds 1.28
Correct score1-1Alternative1-2
Form
- L 3-5
- W 1-0
- L 0-2
- W 1-0
- D 1-1
- W 3-0
- W 3-2
- W 5-0
- D 1-1
- L 3-4
Head to head
- 14 Mar 2026 Sunderland 0 Brighton 1 Premier League
- 20 Dec 2025 Brighton 0 Sunderland 0 Premier League
Match analysis
Brighton won 5-0 at Coventry on 13 September and have scored three or more in four of their last five, the main reason Superior picks Over 1.5 goals at 1.28 for Sunderland vs Brighton on 10 October. The model's chance for that pick is 78 percent.
Brighton beat Arsenal 3-0 and won 3-2 at Manchester United
Superior's expected goals for Brighton start from a scoring rate of 3.0 a game and a Sunderland defence that conceded five at Manchester City on 20 September. Its figure for Sunderland draws on a Brighton defence rated 6.2, the lowest of the four ratings in this game, and Brighton conceded four at Chelsea on 30 August. The correct score forecast is 1-1, with 1-2 the alternative.
Sunderland and Brighton drew 0-0 in December and Brighton won 1-0 in March
Both meetings last season stayed under two goals, and Sunderland's home wins over AZ Alkmaar and Hull City were both 1-0, and they have scored more than once in only one of their last five. A repeat of March, Sunderland keeping it tight and one goal settling it, loses the bet.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.78Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.
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League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +6 | 12 | |
| 2 | 5 | +4 | 12 | |
| 3 | 5 | +11 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | +6 | 9 | |
| 5 | 5 | +3 | 9 | |
| 6 | 4 | +4 | 8 | |
| 7 | 5 | +2 | 8 | |
| 8 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| 9 | 5 | -2 | 7 | |
| 10 | 4 | +2 | 6 | |
| 11 | 5 | -4 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| 14 | 4 | -2 | 4 | |
| 15 | 5 | -5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 4 | -1 | 3 | |
| 17 | 4 | -5 | 3 | |
| 18 | 5 | -9 | 3 | |
| 19 | 5 | -6 | 2 | |
| 20 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 | |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | |
| 5 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| 6 | Leeds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | |
| 7 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| 8 | Newcastle United | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | |
| 9 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | |
| 10 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | |
| 12 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 13 | Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | |
| 15 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | |
| 19 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | |
| 20 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |