Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction - 1 October 2026
Our pick:Home win
63%Odds 1.57
Picked at 1.57 · now 1.64
Correct score1-0Alternative3-1
What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our correct score is 1-0, then 3-1. Sacramento Republic are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Sacramento Republic are unbeaten in three meetings with Las Vegas Lights, and the Sacramento win is Superior's pick for Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights on 1 October at 1.57. The model gives it a 63% chance because Las Vegas score 0.8 goals a game and have lost three of their last five.
Sacramento beat Las Vegas 4-0 at home in June 2025
The three meetings went 4-0 to Sacramento at home in June 2025, 2-0 to Sacramento away a month later and 1-1 away in April. Superior's grid starts from each side's measured scoring and conceding, and Las Vegas bring 0.8 goals a game against Sacramento's 1.2, so the likeliest scores it prices are 1-0 and 2-0 to the home side. Las Vegas lost 0-2 at Lexington, then 0-2 to Charleston and 1-2 to New Mexico at home, before a 2-0 win at Orange County on 13 September.
Sacramento drew 0-0 at home with San Antonio on 20 September
The home win loses to any draw, and Sacramento have drawn three of their last five, including that goalless night against San Antonio. A scoring rate of 1.2 a game leaves little room, so a single Las Vegas goal can turn a 1-0 into a 1-1. Sacramento did win 3-2 at New Mexico on 27 September, but they conceded twice to do it.
Today's acca
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Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 April 2026 | Las Vegas Lights | 1 - 1 | Sacramento Republic |
| 5 July 2025 | Las Vegas Lights | 0 - 2 | Sacramento Republic |
| 1 June 2025 | Sacramento Republic | 4 - 0 | Las Vegas Lights |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | +13 | 47 | ||
| 1 | 18 | +14 | 38 | ||
| 2 | 18 | +13 | 30 | ||
| 2 | 25 | +9 | 43 | ||
| 3 | 25 | +11 | 40 | ||
| 3 | 17 | +8 | 28 | ||
| 4 | 18 | +1 | 27 | ||
| 4 | 26 | +14 | 40 | ||
| 5 | 26 | -5 | 39 | ||
| 5 | 18 | 0 | 26 | ||
| 6 | 26 | +3 | 39 | ||
| 6 | 19 | -7 | 22 | ||
| 7 | 25 | +6 | 38 | ||
| 7 | 16 | +6 | 22 | ||
| 8 | 16 | -1 | 21 | ||
| 8 | 26 | +1 | 38 | ||
| 9 | 17 | -4 | 20 | ||
| 9 | 26 | -2 | 33 | ||
| 10 | 25 | -3 | 33 | ||
| 10 | 17 | -8 | 18 | ||
| 11 | 17 | -3 | 17 | ||
| 11 | 26 | -3 | 33 | ||
| 12 | 26 | -19 | 18 | ||
| 12 | 17 | -15 | 13 | ||
| 13 | 19 | -28 | 8 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 47 | LWLWL |
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 38 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 30 | WLDLW |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 43 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 40 | WWDWL |
| 3 | Detroit City | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 28 | DLWWW |
| 4 | Louisville City | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 27 | LWLWD |
| 4 | Lexington | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 40 | WDWLW |
| 5 | Orange County SC | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 | WWDDW |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 26 | WLLWL |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 39 | LWWWL |
| 6 | Miami FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 22 | DLLWD |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 38 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 | LWWLD |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 | LLLLW |
| 8 | San Antonio | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 | WWLDW |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 20 | LDLDL |
| 9 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 33 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 33 | DWWLL |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 18 | WWDDL |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 33 | DDWLL |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 18 | LLLDW |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 13 | LLDWL |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 8 | LLDWD |