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UEFA Champions League Women

Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W

Correct score
2 - 1
Alternative score
1 - 1
Featured pick
Goals: Under 3.5 @ 1.46
Match page

Match analysis

Manchester City Women average 2.8 goals a game and Real Madrid Women 2.2, a sum well above this line, yet Superior's pick for Manchester City Women vs Real Madrid Women on 1 October is Under 3.5 goals at 1.46. The model gives it a 66% chance, and its likeliest score, a 2-1 City win, stays under.

Real Madrid Women allowed one goal or none in four of their last five

Superior prices every score from the two sides' expected goals, and market prices can move those rates, which is why the grid settles on 2-1 and 1-1 even with both averages high. Real's defensive run backs that: 0-0 with Eibar, 2-0 at Deportivo de La Coruna, 3-1 over Valencia and 1-1 with PSG on 22 September. Only the 5-3 at Real Sociedad on 26 September broke the pattern.

Four of City's last five games went to four goals or more

Under 3.5 loses at four goals, and City's recent games keep getting there: 4-2 over Liverpool, 4-1 at Aston Villa, 3-1 over Birmingham City and 2-2 in Munich against Bayern. A City side that scores three at home needs Real to add only one for the bet to lose. The 1-0 at Charlton on 26 September is the only recent City game that stayed tight.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.66price rising, opened at 1.62
Draw4.40price rising, opened at 3.90
Away4.50price falling, opened at 4.63
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.16price falling, opened at 1.17
Under 1.54.55price rising, opened at 4.20
Over 2.51.61
Under 2.52.29price rising, opened at 2.17
Over 3.52.40price falling, opened at 2.50
Under 3.51.55price rising, opened at 1.46
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price falling, opened at 1.90
Even1.83price falling, opened at 1.90
Handicap
Home -0.751.74price falling, opened at 1.75
Away +0.751.89price falling, opened at 1.96

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Match History

Head to Head

These two have never met in our records.

Recent Form

Head to Head

Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
26 September 2026Charlton Athletic W0 - 1Manchester City W
22 September 2026Bayern Munich W2 - 2Manchester City W
18 September 2026Manchester City W4 - 2Liverpool W
13 September 2026Aston Villa W1 - 4Manchester City W
6 September 2026Manchester City W3 - 1Birmingham City W

Head to Head

Real Madrid W vs Manchester City W: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
26 September 2026Real Sociedad W3 - 5Real Madrid W
22 September 2026Real Madrid W1 - 1Paris Saint Germain W
19 September 2026Real Madrid W3 - 1Valencia W
11 September 2026Deportivo de La Coruña W0 - 2Real Madrid W
6 September 2026Real Madrid W0 - 0Eibar W
View Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W Prediction