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UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland vs Hungary

Correct score
1 - 1
Alternative score
1 - 2
Featured pick
Goals: Over 1.5 @ 1.5
Match page

Match analysis

Hungary carry a 6.7 attack rating into Northern Ireland vs Hungary on 28 September, against a home defence rated 6.1, and they have scored in four of their last five. Superior's pick is Over 1.5 goals, which the model puts at 65 percent, at a price of 1.50.

Hungary have eight goals in their last five

Superior prices every scoreline on a Poisson grid built from each team's expected goals, and the stronger attack against the weaker defence supplies most of the total here. Hungary beat Kazakhstan 3-1 and Finland 2-1 in June and drew 2-2 in Portugal last October. Northern Ireland conceded three in France in June, and their own rate of 1.0 a game gives the grid a second route to two goals.

Hungary's 0-0 with Greece and 1-0 over Slovenia

Four of the two sides' last ten games finished with fewer than two goals: Hungary's 0-0 with Greece and 1-0 win over Slovenia in March, and Northern Ireland's 1-0 win over Guinea and 1-0 home defeat to Germany. Any repeat of those scorelines, 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1, loses the bet, and a single goal either way is the likeliest of them.

Bookmaker odds

Home2.66price falling, opened at 3.22
Draw3.11price falling, opened at 3.14
Away2.82price rising, opened at 2.35
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.50price rising, opened at 1.47
Under 1.52.61price rising, opened at 2.55
Over 2.52.48price falling, opened at 3.75
Under 2.51.54price rising, opened at 1.24
Over 3.54.65price falling, opened at 4.96
Under 3.51.13
Both teams to score
Yes2.03price falling, opened at 2.05
No1.72price falling, opened at 1.73
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.83price falling, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home +01.85price falling, opened at 2.25
Away +01.96price rising, opened at 1.65

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Match History

Head to Head

These two have never met in our records.

Recent Form

Head to Head

Hungary vs Northern Ireland: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
25 September 2026Hungary0 - 1Ukraine
9 June 2026Hungary3 - 1Kazakhstan
5 June 2026Hungary2 - 1Finland
31 March 2026Hungary0 - 0Greece
28 March 2026Hungary1 - 0Slovenia

Head to Head

Northern Ireland vs Hungary: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
25 September 2026Georgia0 - 1Northern Ireland
8 June 2026France3 - 1Northern Ireland
4 June 2026Northern Ireland1 - 0Guinea
31 March 2026Wales1 - 1Northern Ireland