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UEFA Nations League

Moldova vs Faroe Islands

Correct score
1 - 1
Alternative score
0 - 3
Featured pick
Goals: Over 1.5 @ 1.56
Match page

Match analysis

Moldova arrive on shorter rest than the Faroe Islands, and all five of their recent games reached two goals, so Superior takes Over 1.5 goals in Moldova vs Faroe Islands on 29 September. The price is 1.56, and the model rates it 63 percent.

Moldova have conceded in each of their last five games

Superior works from an expected scoring rate for each side, and Moldova's defence leaks at a steady rate: 1-1 in Armenia, 2-2 with Bulgaria, a 3-2 defeat in Cyprus, a 2-0 home loss to Lithuania and 1-1 in Estonia. Every one of those cleared the line. The Faroe Islands average 2.0 goals a game on a five-match winning run with an attack rating of 6.4, which gives the visitors a real share of the goals the model expects. The correct score is 1-1, with a 0-3 Faroe Islands win the alternative.

The Faroe Islands won 1-0 twice in their last five

Over 1.5 loses on 0-0 or a single goal either way, and the Faroe Islands know that scoreline well: 1-0 at home to Kazakhstan in November and 1-0 in Gibraltar in September 2025. A visiting side that can close a game at one goal is the main threat here, and a 0-1 would beat the pick despite Moldova's leaky record.

Bookmaker odds

Home2.42
Draw3.11
Away3.15
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.52price falling, opened at 1.53
Under 1.52.52price rising, opened at 2.50
Over 2.52.49price falling, opened at 2.51
Under 2.51.46price rising, opened at 1.45
Over 3.54.70price falling, opened at 4.75
Under 3.51.12
Both teams to score
Yes2.09price falling, opened at 2.11
No1.68price rising, opened at 1.66
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -0.252.03
Away +0.251.78

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Match History

Head to Head

These two have never met in our records.

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Head to Head

Faroe Islands vs Moldova: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
26 September 2026Faroe Islands1 - 1Kazakhstan
28 March 2026San Marino1 - 2Faroe Islands
18 November 2025Faroe Islands1 - 0Kazakhstan
12 October 2025Faroe Islands2 - 1Czech Republic
9 October 2025Faroe Islands4 - 0Montenegro

Head to Head

Moldova vs Faroe Islands: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
26 September 2026Slovakia2 - 0Moldova
9 June 2026Armenia1 - 1Moldova
5 June 2026Moldova2 - 2Bulgaria
30 March 2026Cyprus3 - 2Moldova