Head to Head Stats & Predictions
Next meeting
Plymouth vs Burton Albion
- Correct score
- 1 - 0
- Alternative score
- 3 - 1
- Featured pick
- Asian Handicap: Home +0.5 @ 1.2
Match analysis
Superior's pick for Plymouth vs Burton Albion on 26 September is Plymouth on the +0.5 Asian handicap, which wins on a Plymouth win or a draw. It is priced at 1.20 and our model gives it 76 percent, because Plymouth arrive scoring 3.0 goals a game across their last five while Burton have won one of theirs.
Plymouth have scored 15 goals in five games
The model builds an expected scoring rate for each side from what it scores and concedes, then prices every plausible score. Plymouth's rate is fed by 5-1 against Crystal Palace's under-21s, 4-2 at Blackpool, 3-0 against Barnsley and 3-2 at Doncaster. Burton's scoring over the same stretch is well below that, and the only away game in their five was a 3-0 defeat at Oxford. Plymouth also won both meetings last season, 4-0 at Burton and 3-0 at home.
Plymouth have conceded in four of their last five
Only a Burton win beats this pick, so the danger sits in Plymouth's defence rather than their attack. They let in one against Palace's under-21s, two at Blackpool, two at Doncaster and two in a 2-0 defeat at Leicester on 1 September. Burton scored in four of their five, including 4-1 against AFC Wimbledon and two in each draw with Mansfield and Cambridge, so a 1-2 or 2-3 away win is the realistic route to losing it.
AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
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Match History
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 4, 2026 | Plymouth | 3 - 0 | Burton Albion |
| September 27, 2025 | Burton Albion | 0 - 4 | Plymouth |
Recent Form
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 22, 2026 | Burton Albion | 1 - 1 | Nottingham Forest U21 |
| September 19, 2026 | Burton Albion | 2 - 2 | Mansfield Town |
| September 12, 2026 | Oxford United | 3 - 0 | Burton Albion |
| September 5, 2026 | Burton Albion | 2 - 2 | Cambridge United |
| September 2, 2026 | Burton Albion | 4 - 1 | AFC Wimbledon |
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 22, 2026 | Plymouth | 5 - 1 | Crystal Palace U21 |
| September 19, 2026 | Blackpool | 2 - 4 | Plymouth |
| September 12, 2026 | Plymouth | 3 - 0 | Barnsley |
| September 5, 2026 | Doncaster | 2 - 3 | Plymouth |