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Panteras vs Lobos Plateados basketball prediction

LNBPFull time
Panteras
100-111
Lobos Plateados
Bet of the Day

Our pick:Under 184.5 incl. overtime

80%Odds 1.26Lost

Score prediction84-86

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.51price falling, opened at 1.64
Away2.43price rising, opened at 1.97
Total points 172.5 line moved from 173.5
Over1.85
Under1.85
Spread -1 line moved from -2.5
Home1.83
Away1.83
Methodology

Match analysis

Lobos Plateados give up 80.0 points a game this season, five fewer than Panteras, and their defence is the reason for Under 184.5 points in Panteras vs Lobos Plateados, Including Overtime. Superior's forecast is an 86-84 win for the visitors, a 170-point game that finishes 14 short of the line.

Lobos have held four of their last five opponents under 86

Freseros de Irapuato scored 63 at Lobos on 13 October, two nights after putting up 86 there, and El Calor de Cancun were held to 77 in both games of their set in Cancun earlier in the month. Panteras average 88.5 points, yet they stopped at 81 at home to Dorados on 3 October, and the projection has them on 84 here. Lobos' own scoring adds little pressure: they average 84.8, and their 105 against Irapuato is the only time in five they went past 90.

A 199-point night in August

The clubs met on consecutive nights at Panteras in August. The first game went 111-88, 199 points, and the second finished 73-69 for 142, so this pairing has already produced one game far above the total and one far below it. The two 2024 meetings split the same way, 120-80 and 87-82.

Written by the Superior Basketball Desk

Margin and totals

How big could the win be?

  • Lobos Plateados by 2
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPanterasLobos Plateados
Wins42%58%
By 6+28%43%
By 11+16%29%
By 16+9%18%
By 21+4%10%

How many points will fall?

Best bets

  • Moneyline: Away58%Won
  • Spread: Away +7.577%Won
  • Total Points: Under 18581%Lost

Form and context

Panteras

Season record
19-9
Points per game
88.5
Points allowed
85
  1. W93-92Diablos Rojos
  2. W77-76Diablos Rojos
  3. L81-85Dorados
  4. W91-85Dorados
  5. W97-88Freseros de Irapuato

Lobos Plateados

Season record
20-10
Points per game
84.8
Points allowed
80
Rest
5 d
  1. W75-63Freseros de Irapuato
  2. W105-86Freseros de Irapuato
  3. W90-77El Calor de Cancun
  4. L68-77El Calor de Cancun
  5. W90-85Correcaminos UAT Victoria

Head to head

  1. 13 Aug 26Panteras73Lobos Plateados69
  2. 12 Aug 26Panteras111Lobos Plateados88
  3. 1 Aug 24Panteras120Lobos Plateados80
  4. 31 Jul 24Panteras87Lobos Plateados82

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