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Valencia vs Murcia basketball prediction

ACBFull time
Top pick 3

Our pick:Under 194.5 incl. overtime

80%Odds 1.26Lost

Score prediction98-86

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.24price rising, opened at 1.14
Away4.06price falling, opened at 4.56
Total points 181.5 line moved from 182.5
Over1.89
Under1.91
Spread -9 line moved from -8.5
Home1.90
Away1.88
Methodology

Match analysis

Murcia have not been in a game above 194 points in their last five, and their trip to Valencia is projected at 98-86, 184 in all. That gap carries the Under 194.5, Including Overtime, with Valencia playing for the third time since Tuesday after three straight defeats.

Murcia's 100-94 win over Barcelona came in at 194

The highest of Murcia's last five was their 100-94 home win over Barcelona on 4 October, half a point under this line. The other four ended on 153, 167, 143 and 161 points, the latest an 86-67 win at Bamberg on Wednesday. Valencia lost 89-86 at Barcelona, 102-97 to Olympiacos and 91-88 to Maccabi Tel Aviv, and only the Olympiacos game, 199 points, went past this line. When these clubs met in March, Valencia won 110-84, another 194. Murcia's league scoring sits at 84.7 a game, and they have had three days to recover from Bamberg while Valencia have had two since Maccabi.

Margin and totals

How big could the win be?

  • Valencia by 12
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginValenciaMurcia
Wins78%22%
By 6+66%12%
By 11+52%5%
By 16+38%2%
By 21+25%1%

How many points will fall?

Best bets

  • Moneyline: Home78%Won
  • Spread: Home -1.572%Won
  • Total Points: Under 195.582%Lost

Form and context

Valencia

Season record
1-2
Points per game
94.3
Points allowed
92
Rest
2 d
  1. L88-91Maccabi Tel Aviv
  2. L97-102Olympiacos Piraeus
  3. L86-89Barcelona Bàsquet
  4. W93-82Hapoel Tel Aviv
  5. W97-82Basket Zaragoza

Murcia

Season record
1-2
Points per game
84.7
Points allowed
89.3
Rest
3 d
  1. W86-67Bamberg
  2. L77-90Tenerife Lenovo
  3. W85-58Pallacanestro Varese
  4. W100-94Barcelona Bàsquet
  5. L77-84Basquet Girona

Head to head

  1. 8 Mar 26Valencia110Murcia84
  2. 21 Dec 25Murcia92Valencia80
  3. 5 Apr 25Valencia71Murcia86
  4. 15 Dec 24Murcia88Valencia96
  5. 25 May 24Valencia77Murcia84

Match highlights

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