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Joventut Badalona vs Barcelona Bàsquet basketball prediction

ACBFull time
Top pick 5

Our pick:Under 192.5 incl. overtime

80%Odds 1.26Lost

Score prediction89-87

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.70price rising, opened at 1.65
Away2.16price rising, opened at 2.06
Total points 178.5 line moved from 180.5
Over1.90
Under1.90
Spread -2 line moved from -2.5
Home1.86
Away1.92
Methodology

Match analysis

The forecast at Badalona is an 89-87 Joventut win, 176 points, and that leaves 16 points of room for the Under 192.5 (Including Overtime). Barcelona's last three games ended on 177, 175 and 169, and Joventut's last three came in lower still.

Barcelona have conceded 88 or fewer in four of five

Barcelona beat Maccabi Tel Aviv 90-87 on 13 October and Valencia 89-86 two days earlier, after an 88-81 defeat to Zalgiris Kaunas, and the only game in that run past 177 points was a 100-94 loss at Murcia. Joventut's last three finished on 171, 166 and 161, the latest a 96-75 win over MoraBanc Andorra on Wednesday.

101-87 at Badalona four weeks ago

Joventut won the last meeting 101-87 on 20 September, 188 points, the highest of the five since January 2025. The others came in at 156, 170, 179 and 181, so even the busiest recent night in this fixture stayed under the line.

Margin and totals

How big could the win be?

  • Joventut Badalona by 2
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginJoventut BadalonaBarcelona Bàsquet
Wins56%44%
By 6+41%29%
By 11+27%17%
By 16+16%9%
By 21+8%4%

How many points will fall?

Best bets

  • Moneyline: Home56%Won
  • Spread: Home +6.574%Won

Form and context

Joventut Badalona

Season record
1-2
Points per game
91
Points allowed
92.7
Rest
3 d
  1. W96-75MoraBanc Andorra
  2. L73-93Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
  3. W86-75Bnei Herzliya
  4. L104-110Breogan
  5. W101-87Barcelona Bàsquet

Barcelona Bàsquet

Season record
2-1
Points per game
100.7
Points allowed
95.7
Rest
1 dback-to-back
  1. L100-105Olympiacos Piraeus
  2. W90-87Maccabi Tel Aviv
  3. W89-86Valencia
  4. L81-88Zalgiris Kaunas
  5. L94-100Murcia

Head to head

  1. 20 Sept 26Joventut Badalona101Barcelona Bàsquet87
  2. 15 Mar 26Joventut Badalona84Barcelona Bàsquet72
  3. 21 Dec 25Barcelona Bàsquet90Joventut Badalona80
  4. 30 Mar 25Joventut Badalona86Barcelona Bàsquet93
  5. 5 Jan 25Barcelona Bàsquet90Joventut Badalona91

Match highlights

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