Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata Prediction - September 9, 2026

J-League CupJapanFull time
Tochigi SC
0:1
Montedio Yamagata
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.31Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home3.21
Draw3.40
Away2.14

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.25
Under 1.53.28
Over 2.51.88
Under 2.51.88
Over 3.53.04
Under 3.51.28
Both teams to score
Yes1.70
No2.04
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.83
Handicap
Home +0.251.86
Away -0.251.79

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Montedio Yamagata are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Tochigi SC and Montedio Yamagata average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.1%Projected
  2. 2-19.0%Alternative
  3. 1-08.1%
  4. 1-27.6%
  5. 0-16.8%

Top five combined: 42.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeTochigi SCxG1.63
AwayMontedio YamagataxG1.38
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0%
8.1%
6.6%
3.6%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
1
6.8%
11%
9.0%
4.9%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
2
4.7%
7.6%
6.2%
3.4%
1.4%
0.4%
0.2%
3
2.2%
3.5%
2.9%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.7%
1.2%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 60.1%39.9% No
Over 1.5 80.2%19.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 57.8%42.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 35.4%64.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Tochigi SC win and over 2.5 goals28.9%
Tochigi SC win and both teams score23.2%
Montedio Yamagata win and over 2.5 goals20.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Tochigi SC or draw67.6%
Montedio Yamagata or draw56.5%
Either team wins75.9%
Draw no bet: Tochigi SC57.3%
Draw no bet: Montedio Yamagata42.7%
Tochigi SC win to nil20.3%
Montedio Yamagata win to nil14.7%
Team goals
Tochigi SC to score80.4%
Montedio Yamagata to score74.7%
Tochigi SC over 1.5 goals48.4%
Montedio Yamagata over 1.5 goals40.0%
Tochigi SC clean sheet25.3%
Montedio Yamagata clean sheet19.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata
Head to Head

Head to Head

Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 15, 2026Tochigi SC1 - 2Montedio Yamagata