Sydney vs Melbourne Victory Prediction - September 9, 2026

Australia CupAustraliaFull time
Sydney
0:2
Melbourne Victory
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.45Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.30price rising, opened at 2.19
Draw3.56price falling, opened at 3.68
Away2.84price falling, opened at 2.96

Market move since Sep 6. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.16price falling, opened at 1.17
Under 1.54.10
Over 2.51.67price falling, opened at 1.68
Under 2.52.17price rising, opened at 2.14
Over 3.52.54price falling, opened at 2.57
Under 3.51.41price rising, opened at 1.40
Both teams to score
Yes1.53price falling, opened at 1.55
No2.34price rising, opened at 2.30
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.83price falling, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home -0.251.96price rising, opened at 1.88
Away +0.251.79price falling, opened at 1.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sydney vs Melbourne Victory?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Melbourne Victory are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.2%Our score
  2. 1-09.3%Alternative
  3. 0-18.9%
  4. 2-18.4%
  5. 1-28.1%

Top five combined: 46.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSydneyxG1.38
AwayMelbourne VictoryxG1.32
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.7%
9.3%
6.4%
2.9%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
8.9%
12%
8.4%
3.9%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
2
5.9%
8.1%
5.6%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
2.6%
3.6%
2.5%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.9%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 54.8%45.2% No
Over 1.5 75.1%24.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 50.6%49.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 28.6%71.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sydney win and over 2.5 goals22.8%
Sydney win and both teams score18.5%
Melbourne Victory win and over 2.5 goals21.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Sydney or draw64.2%
Melbourne Victory or draw61.6%
Either team wins74.2%
Draw no bet: Sydney51.8%
Draw no bet: Melbourne Victory48.2%
Sydney win to nil20.0%
Melbourne Victory win to nil18.5%
Team goals
Sydney to score74.8%
Melbourne Victory to score73.3%
Sydney over 1.5 goals40.1%
Melbourne Victory over 1.5 goals38.0%
Sydney clean sheet26.7%
Melbourne Victory clean sheet25.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Won

2 selections at 1.74

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Sydney vs Melbourne Victory
Head to Head

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory
0 - 1
Sydney
May 2, 2026
Sydney
2 - 2
Melbourne Victory
March 7, 2026
Melbourne Victory
4 - 0
Sydney
January 26, 2026
Sydney
3 - 0
Melbourne Victory
November 22, 2025
Sydney vs Melbourne Victory: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 2, 2026Melbourne Victory0 - 1Sydney
March 7, 2026Sydney2 - 2Melbourne Victory
January 26, 2026Melbourne Victory4 - 0Sydney
November 22, 2025Sydney3 - 0Melbourne Victory