Neftchi vs Surkhon Prediction - September 9, 2026

Super LeagueUzbekistanFull time
Neftchi
2:1
Surkhon
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:2-0

Goals: Under 3.51.67Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.26
Draw5.78
Away9.45

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.11
Under 1.55.53
Over 2.51.47
Under 2.52.53
Over 3.52.16
Under 3.51.65
Both teams to score
Yes1.79
No1.88
Odd/Even
Odd1.82
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -1.51.79
Away +1.51.96

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Neftchi vs Surkhon?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Neftchi are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-7Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Why this prediction

  • Neftchi and Surkhon average 2.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-016.3%Projected
  2. 2-014.7%Alternative
  3. 1-19.8%
  4. 0-09.1%
  5. 2-18.8%

Top five combined: 58.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNeftchixG1.80
AwaySurkhonxG0.60
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.1%
16%
15%
8.8%
4.0%
1.4%
0.6%
1
5.5%
9.8%
8.8%
5.3%
2.4%
0.9%
0.3%
2
1.6%
3.0%
2.7%
1.6%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
3
0.3%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 37.7%62.3% No
Over 1.5 69.2%30.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 43.0%57.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 22.1%77.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Neftchi win and over 2.5 goals35.3%
Neftchi win and both teams score20.6%
Surkhon win and over 2.5 goals4.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Neftchi or draw88.2%
Surkhon or draw33.7%
Either team wins78.1%
Draw no bet: Neftchi84.9%
Draw no bet: Surkhon15.1%
Neftchi win to nil45.7%
Surkhon win to nil7.5%
Team goals
Neftchi to score83.5%
Surkhon to score45.2%
Neftchi over 1.5 goals53.7%
Surkhon over 1.5 goals12.2%
Neftchi clean sheet54.8%
Surkhon clean sheet16.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

See the ticket

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free
Prediction, preview and head to head: Neftchi vs Surkhon
Head to Head

Head to Head

Neftchi vs Surkhon: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
November 2, 2025Neftchi2 - 1Surkhon
June 15, 2025Surkhon0 - 0Neftchi
League Table

League Table

Super LeagueUzbekistan · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12115334917+3248
22113713719+1846
32011543218+1438
42010463023+734
5219572928+132
6209563327+632
7218762920+931
8219392624+230
9218673131030
10218493741-428
112182112029-926
122165101828-1023
132156101729-1221
14214891929-1020
152161142035-1519
162011181039-294
Champions LeagueRelegation
Super League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Neftchi21153349173248DDWWD
2Pakhtakor21137137191846DWWDD
3Navbahor20115432181438WDDLD
4Buxoro2010463023734WLWLW
5Olmaliq219572928132LWWWD
6Lokomotiv209563327632LWDDW
7Nasaf218762920931WWDWD
8Andijan219392624230DWDLW
9Dinamo Samarqand218673131030DWWWW
10Sogdiana218493741-428WLLWL
11Qizilqum2182112029-926LDLLD
12Surkhon2165101828-1023WLLWD
13Xorazm2156101729-1221LWLLL
14Kokand-1912214891929-1020LLLLW
15Bunyodkor2161142035-1519LLLLW
16Mash'al2011181039-294LLDWL