Napoli vs Arsenal Prediction - September 9, 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueWorldFull time
Napoli
0:1
Arsenal
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.34Won

Bookmaker odds

Home5.85price rising, opened at 4.34
Draw3.84price rising, opened at 3.64
Away1.61price falling, opened at 1.82

Market move since Sep 6. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.30price rising, opened at 1.28
Under 1.53.26price rising, opened at 3.24
Over 2.51.96
Under 2.51.84
Over 3.53.26
Under 3.51.30price rising, opened at 1.28
Both teams to score
Yes1.94price rising, opened at 1.82
No1.79price falling, opened at 1.90
Odd/Even
Odd1.88price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home +0.752.04price rising, opened at 1.76
Away -0.751.77price falling, opened at 2.06

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Napoli vs Arsenal?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Arsenal are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Napoli and Arsenal average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.9%Projected
  2. 0-111.9%Alternative
  3. 1-29.5%
  4. 0-29.5%
  5. 1-07.4%

Top five combined: 50.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNapolixG1.00
AwayArsenalxG1.60
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.4%
7.4%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
1
12%
12%
5.9%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
2
9.5%
9.5%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
3
5.1%
5.1%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
2.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.7%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 50.5%49.5% No
Over 1.5 73.3%26.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 48.3%51.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 26.5%73.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Napoli win and over 2.5 goals12.5%
Napoli win and both teams score10.9%
Arsenal win and over 2.5 goals30.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Napoli or draw48.6%
Arsenal or draw76.4%
Either team wins75.0%
Draw no bet: Napoli31.5%
Draw no bet: Arsenal68.5%
Napoli win to nil12.7%
Arsenal win to nil29.4%
Team goals
Napoli to score63.2%
Arsenal to score79.9%
Napoli over 1.5 goals26.5%
Arsenal over 1.5 goals47.6%
Napoli clean sheet20.1%
Arsenal clean sheet36.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

See the ticket

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free
Prediction, preview and head to head: Napoli vs Arsenal