El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly Prediction - September 9, 2026
Alternative:1-1
Goals: Under 3.51.28Won
What is the prediction for El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Al Ahly are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Al Ahly's attack is rated 6.9 out of 10 against a home defence rated 6.3, a narrow enough gap that Superior is not backing a routine away goal rush in El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly, the Egyptian Premier League fixture on 9 September priced at 1.28 for Under 3.5 and rated 64 percent.
Al Ahly's defence is rated a point clear of El Mokawloon's attack
That same gap runs the other way too: Al Ahly's own defence, at 6.7, comfortably outranks El Mokawloon's attack at 6.4, which is why the combined average of 3.4 goals a game sits just under this line rather than well clear of it. The reverse fixture in March went 3-1 to Al Ahly, and El Mokawloon are fighting relegation while Al Ahly sit a comfortable third with nothing pressing.
The combined average here is only a tenth of a goal off the line
The way this loses is four or more total goals, and at a combined 3.4 a game, this pairing sits close enough to that number that one open half would tip it over. Al Ahly have scored nine in their last five and El Mokawloon eight, and if a relegation-threatened home side chases the game the way it has at times this season, four goals is a short step away.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
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Grade: WON
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 1-29.8%Projected
- 0-29.7%
- 1-18.6%Alternative
- 0-18.4%
- 1-37.4%
Top five combined: 43.9%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
2 selections at 1.73
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Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 5, 2026 | El Mokawloon | 1 - 3 | Al Ahly |
| December 30, 2025 | Al Ahly | 0 - 3 | El Mokawloon |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | +19 | 43 | ||
| 2 | 20 | +18 | 43 | ||
| 2 | 20 | +18 | 43 | ||
| 3 | 20 | +14 | 40 | ||
| 4 | 20 | +13 | 38 | ||
| 5 | 20 | +9 | 32 | ||
| 6 | 20 | +8 | 31 | ||
| 7 | 20 | +4 | 30 | ||
| 8 | 20 | +3 | 29 | ||
| 9 | 20 | +5 | 29 | ||
| 10 | 20 | +1 | 28 | ||
| 11 | 20 | +4 | 26 | ||
| 12 | 20 | -2 | 25 | ||
| 13 | 20 | -6 | 23 | ||
| 13 | 20 | -6 | 23 | ||
| 14 | 20 | -10 | 22 | ||
| 15 | 20 | -9 | 20 | ||
| 16 | 20 | -3 | 19 | ||
| 17 | 20 | -8 | 18 | ||
| 18 | 20 | -14 | 17 | ||
| 19 | 20 | -15 | 16 | ||
| 20 | 20 | -14 | 15 | ||
| 21 | 20 | -17 | 11 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zamalek SC | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 43 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Pyramids FC | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 43 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Al Assiouty Sport | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 43 | |
| 3 | Al Ahly | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 40 | LWDWW |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 38 | DDDLW |
| 5 | AL Masry | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 | LWLWD |
| 6 | Smouha SC | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 31 | WWLLL |
| 7 | Enppi | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 30 | WWWLD |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 29 | DDWDL |
| 9 | Masr | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 29 | WDLDD |
| 10 | El Gouna FC | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 28 | WDWDL |
| 11 | National Bank of Egypt | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 26 | LDLWD |
| 12 | Petrojet | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 | LDWDD |
| 13 | Future FC | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 23 | LLDLD |
| 13 | Coca-Cola | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 23 | |
| 14 | El Geish | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 22 | WWWDL |
| 15 | Al Ittihad | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 20 | LWLWW |
| 16 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 20 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 19 | DLLDL |
| 17 | El Mokawloon | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 18 | LDDWL |
| 18 | Haras El Hodood | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 17 | LLWLD |
| 19 | Kahraba Ismailia | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 16 | LWDDL |
| 20 | Pharco | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 15 | DLLDD |
| 21 | Ismaily SC | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 11 | LLDLL |