Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah Prediction - September 9, 2026

Pro LeagueSaudi-ArabiaFull time
Al-Fateh
1:2
Al Diriyah
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.53Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.79price rising, opened at 3.43
Draw3.81price rising, opened at 3.73
Away1.84price falling, opened at 1.96

Market move since Sep 6. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.14price falling, opened at 1.15
Under 1.54.40price rising, opened at 4.25
Over 2.51.58price falling, opened at 1.61
Under 2.52.29price rising, opened at 2.23
Over 3.52.33price falling, opened at 2.41
Under 3.51.48price rising, opened at 1.45
Both teams to score
Yes1.52
No2.34
Odd/Even
Odd1.84price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home +0.751.74
Away -0.752.03

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Al Diriyah are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Just 1.4 goals a game is the combined rate between Al-Fateh and Al Diriyah, the reason Superior is on Under 3.5 for their Saudi Pro League meeting on 9 September, priced at 1.53 and rated 73 percent. Al-Fateh have scored only once in their last five matches, extending that drought further.

Al-Fateh have scored once in five matches

Three draws and two losses have followed for Al-Fateh, with just a single goal to show for it, and their defence, rated 6.5 out of 10, is not the issue. Al Diriyah have scored six times in the same span, but three of those came in a single 3-0 win at Al-Ettifaq, and they have managed one goal or fewer in every other match.

Al Diriyah shipped four goals at home to Al-Nassr this month

The way this finishes over is four or more total goals, and Al Diriyah's defence has already conceded that many in a single afternoon, a 1-4 loss to Al-Nassr on 18 August. Al-Fateh have managed just one goal in five matches, yet if Al Diriyah's back line has one more soft night in front of a home crowd expecting goals, four is within reach even without a repeat of that scoreline.

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.3%Our score
  2. 0-111.0%Alternative
  3. 1-29.1%
  4. 1-08.4%
  5. 0-28.1%

Top five combined: 48.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAl-FatehxG1.12
AwayAl DiriyahxG1.47
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.5%
8.4%
4.7%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
1
11%
12%
6.9%
2.6%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
8.1%
9.1%
5.1%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
4.0%
4.5%
2.5%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.5%
1.6%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.9%48.1% No
Over 1.5 73.1%26.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 48.0%52.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 26.2%73.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Al-Fateh win and over 2.5 goals15.7%
Al-Fateh win and both teams score13.3%
Al Diriyah win and over 2.5 goals26.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Al-Fateh or draw54.7%
Al Diriyah or draw71.2%
Either team wins74.1%
Draw no bet: Al-Fateh38.9%
Draw no bet: Al Diriyah61.1%
Al-Fateh win to nil15.4%
Al Diriyah win to nil25.1%
Team goals
Al-Fateh to score67.4%
Al Diriyah to score77.1%
Al-Fateh over 1.5 goals30.8%
Al Diriyah over 1.5 goals43.3%
Al-Fateh clean sheet22.9%
Al Diriyah clean sheet32.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.75

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Team news

Expected formations

Al Diriyah: 5-4-1(predicted)
League Table

League Table

Pro LeagueSaudi-Arabia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
17601235+1818
27520126+617
37511168+816
46501156+915
574031610+612
600000000
700000000
76330128+412
873221111011
9631275+210
10722379-28
1100000000
116123711-45
126123616-105
13604229-74
146033611-53
15603327-53
1500000000
167034513-83
177034312-93
186015513-81
Champions LeagueRelegation
Pro League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC76012351818
2Al-Ittihad FC7520126617
3Al-Qadisiyah FC7511168816
4Al-Nassr6501156915
5Al-Ahli Saudi74031610612
6Al-Ahli Jeddah00000000
7Al-Hazm00000000
7Al Kholood6330128412
8Al-Ettifaq73221111011
9Al Diriyah631275210
10Al-Hazem722379-28
11Al Taawon00000000
11Al-Fayha6123711-45
12Al Riyadh6123616-105
13Al Khaleej Saihat604229-74
14Al Shabab6033611-53
15Al-Fateh603327-53
15NEOM00000000
16Al-Faisaly FC7034513-83
17Al Taawoun FC7034312-93
18Abha6015513-81