Sutton United vs Birmingham City U21 Prediction - September 8, 2026

National League CupEnglandPEN
Sutton United
5:6Pens
AET 1-1
Birmingham City U21
Projected scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:1-0

Match Winner: Home1.55Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.48price rising, opened at 1.47
Draw4.35price falling, opened at 4.40
Away5.16price falling, opened at 5.21

Market move since Sep 8. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.07
Under 1.55.80price rising, opened at 5.75
Over 2.51.35price falling, opened at 1.36
Under 2.52.74price rising, opened at 2.70
Over 3.51.96price falling, opened at 1.98
Under 3.51.75price rising, opened at 1.74
Both teams to score
Yes1.46price falling, opened at 1.47
No2.50price rising, opened at 2.47
Odd/Even
Odd1.83
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -11.77
Away +11.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sutton United vs Birmingham City U21?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-011.0%Projected
  2. 1-010.7%Alternative
  3. 2-19.9%
  4. 1-19.6%
  5. 3-07.6%

Top five combined: 48.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSutton UnitedxG2.07
AwayBirmingham City U21xG0.90
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.1%
11%
11%
7.6%
3.9%
1.6%
0.8%
1
4.6%
9.6%
9.9%
6.8%
3.5%
1.5%
0.7%
2
2.1%
4.3%
4.4%
3.1%
1.6%
0.7%
0.3%
3
0.6%
1.3%
1.3%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.7%48.3% No
Over 1.5 79.6%20.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 56.9%43.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.5%65.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sutton United win and over 2.5 goals42.8%
Sutton United win and both teams score28.9%
Birmingham City U21 win and over 2.5 goals8.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Sutton United or draw84.7%
Birmingham City U21 or draw35.5%
Either team wins79.8%
Draw no bet: Sutton United80.8%
Draw no bet: Birmingham City U2119.2%
Sutton United win to nil35.7%
Birmingham City U21 win to nil7.5%
Team goals
Sutton United to score87.4%
Birmingham City U21 to score59.2%
Sutton United over 1.5 goals61.3%
Birmingham City U21 over 1.5 goals22.6%
Sutton United clean sheet40.8%
Birmingham City U21 clean sheet12.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.83

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Sutton United vs Birmingham City U21

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