Vitoria vs Gremio Prediction - September 7, 2026
Alternative:1-0
Goals: Under 3.51.27Won
What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Gremio?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Gremio are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Vitoria have lost four of their last five matches, three of them without scoring, and that collapse in form is central to Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick in Vitoria vs Gremio on 7 September, priced at 1.27 with 69 percent confidence. Vitoria's goals a game average has fallen to just 0.4.
Vitoria have been shut out in three of their last five matches
A side this blunt in front of goal, scoring just once across its last five matches, gives this total little help from the home end, and Gremio's away form has been similarly quiet: one win in five with 1.0 goals a game themselves. Their recent head to head meetings have also stayed low scoring, with two of the last three finishing with two goals or fewer between them.
Gremio scored three times in their most recent match
Gremio are not entirely toothless, having scored three times in their most recent match after a quieter run before it. If that finishing form travels and Vitoria's own defence, which has conceded in four of its last five matches, cannot keep a second clean sheet in a row, four total goals is within range.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
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Grade: WON
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 1-111.5%Projected
- 1-010.3%Alternative
- 2-19.6%
- 2-08.5%
- 0-17.0%
Top five combined: 46.9%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
2 selections at 2.08
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Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 19, 2026 | Gremio | 2 - 0 | Vitoria |
| September 28, 2025 | Gremio | 3 - 1 | Vitoria |
| April 27, 2025 | Vitoria | 1 - 1 | Gremio |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | +30 | 54 | ||
| 2 | 26 | +24 | 53 | ||
| 3 | 26 | +10 | 45 | ||
| 4 | 26 | +8 | 45 | ||
| 5 | 26 | +8 | 43 | ||
| 6 | 26 | +1 | 42 | ||
| 7 | 21 | -3 | 30 | ||
| 7 | 26 | -1 | 37 | ||
| 8 | 25 | +2 | 36 | ||
| 9 | 25 | +3 | 35 | ||
| 10 | 25 | +3 | 33 | ||
| 11 | 26 | +1 | 33 | ||
| 12 | 25 | -1 | 32 | ||
| 13 | 25 | -3 | 31 | ||
| 14 | 25 | -13 | 29 | ||
| 15 | 24 | -5 | 28 | ||
| 16 | 26 | -11 | 28 | ||
| 17 | 25 | -13 | 25 | ||
| 18 | 26 | -6 | 25 | ||
| 19 | 26 | -13 | 23 | ||
| 20 | 25 | -24 | 15 | ||
| 20 | 20 | -22 | 10 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 54 | DDWWL |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Fluminense | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 45 | DDDDL |
| 5 | Bahia | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 43 | DDDWW |
| 6 | Cruzeiro FC | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 42 | |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 | WLWDW |
| 7 | Coritiba | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 | LDLLW |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 | WDWLW |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 35 | DDWWW |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 33 | DLLDL |
| 11 | Corinthians | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 33 | DDWWW |
| 12 | Santos | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 32 | DLWLL |
| 13 | Botafogo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 31 | WDWLD |
| 14 | Vitoria | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 29 | LLDWL |
| 15 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 28 | DLLWD |
| 16 | Mirassol | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 28 | WDWLW |
| 17 | Vasco DA Gama | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 25 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Internacional | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 25 | DLLLL |
| 19 | Remo | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 23 | LWLWL |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 15 | |
| 20 | Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |